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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Basel
T S S U U
1–0
Full-time
St. Gallen
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,3
2,3
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Super League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 34%
39%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
65%
45%
Both score Ø 60%
68%
52%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 10
2 Offside 0
4 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 2. · St. Gallen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 30 20 9 1 +35 69
2 Basel 31 12 8 11 +6 44
3 Servette 31 12 8 11 -7 44
4 Lugano 31 10 13 8 +2 43
5 Luzern 32 11 9 12 +4 42
6 Lausanne 30 11 8 11 +3 41
7 St. Gallen 31 9 10 12 -5 37
8 Zurich 31 9 8 14 -6 35
9 Vaduz 32 8 9 15 -17 33
10 Sion 31 6 12 13 -15 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Basel St. Gallen
Pajtim Kasami ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
44′
Arthur Cabral 🟨
45′
Fabian Frei 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
M. Palacios 🔁
↦ T. Klose
46′
46′
🔁 B. Babic
↦ C. Adamu
64′
🔁 T. Staubli
↦ J. Guillemenot
1–0 Arthur Cabral
V. Stocker
67′
72′
🔁 B. Traorè
↦ Víctor Ruiz
E. Zhegrova 🔁
↦ D. Males
79′
87′
🔁 P. Sutter
↦ B. Fazliji
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
13 H. Lindner G
17 T. Klose D
5 S. Widmer D
28 R. Petretta D
4 E. Cömert D
14 V. Stocker M
20 F. Frei M
6 A. Abrashi M
23 P. Kasami M
19 D. Males M
98 Arthur Cabral F
Bench (7)
35 M. Palacios
30 E. Zhegrova
21 J. van der Werff
11 Afimico Pululu
1 Đ. Nikolić
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
7 L. Zuffi

Coach: P. Rahmen

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
21 M. Muheim D
4 L. Stergiou D
15 Euclides Cabral D
8 Jordi Quintillà M
16 L. Görtler M
24 K. Duah F
23 B. Fazliji D
10 Víctor Ruiz M
9 J. Guillemenot M
7 C. Adamu F
Bench (7)
34 B. Babic
26 T. Staubli
25 B. Traorè
57 P. Sutter
98 Y. Letard
50 N. Lüchinger
18 L. Watkowiak

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.