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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
St. Gallen
T U U S T
3–1
Full-time
Basel
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Super League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
48%
57%
Both score Ø 55%
52%
57%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
22 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 4. · Basel 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 20 14 5 1 +21 47
2 Basel 21 9 5 7 +2 32
3 Zurich 22 8 5 9 +2 29
4 St. Gallen 21 7 7 7 +0 28
5 Servette 22 7 7 8 -4 28
6 Lugano 21 5 12 4 -1 27
7 Luzern 21 6 6 9 +2 24
8 Lausanne 20 6 6 8 -1 24
9 Sion 21 4 10 7 -6 22
10 Vaduz 21 4 7 10 -15 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gallen Basel
Basil Stillhart 🟨
5′
1–0 L. Görtler
E. Youan
35′
37′
🟨 Gonçalo Cardoso
Half-time 1–0
T. Staubli 🔁
↦ L. Görtler
49′
J. Guillemenot 🔁
↦ C. Adamu
62′
70′
🔁 A. Hunziker
↦ D. Males
70′
🔁 E. Zhegrova
↦ M. Palacios
2–0 K. Duah
70′
3–0 Jordi Quintillà
76′
B. Babic 🔁
↦ K. Duah
84′
M. Nuhu 🔁
↦ B. Stillhart
84′
Euclides Cabral 🔁
↦ E. Youan
84′
Musah Nuhu 🟨
90′
91′
Arthur Cabral 3–1
E. Zhegrova
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
4 L. Stergiou D
8 Jordi Quintillà M
6 B. Stillhart M
16 L. Görtler M
24 K. Duah F
29 A. Kräuchi D
23 B. Fazliji D
25 B. Traorè D
20 E. Youan M
7 C. Adamu F
Bench (7)
26 T. Staubli
9 J. Guillemenot
34 B. Babic
3 M. Nuhu
15 Euclides Cabral
98 Y. Letard
18 L. Watkowiak

Coach: P. Zeidler

Basel

4-2-3-1
13 H. Lindner G
17 T. Klose D
21 J. van der Werff D
3 Gonçalo Cardoso D
76 A. Hajdari D
7 L. Zuffi M
23 P. Kasami M
26 A. Kalulu M
35 M. Palacios M
98 Arthur Cabral F
19 D. Males M
Bench (7)
32 A. Hunziker
30 E. Zhegrova
22 O. Bunjaku
29 A. Durrer
38 L. Vishi
71 C. Chiappetta
1 Đ. Nikolić

Coach: C. Sforza

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.