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Super League
Referee: D Huwiler
Luzern
U U U S T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lausanne Ouchy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 26%
35%
16%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
46%
65%
Both score Ø 62%
62%
62%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,4
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
11 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 6. · Lausanne Ouchy 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 37 22 8 7 +39 +6.5 74
2 Lugano 37 20 5 12 +18 +11.8 65
3 Servette 37 17 10 10 +14 +28.3 61
4 Zurich 37 15 12 10 +11 -0.4 57
5 St. Gallen 37 16 9 12 +10 +13.8 57
6 Luzern 37 13 10 14 -5 +1.3 49
7 Winterthur 37 13 10 14 -8 -7.2 49
8 Basel 37 13 9 15 -7 -3.3 48
9 Yverdon 37 13 7 17 -21 -18.0 46
10 Lausanne 37 11 11 15 -5 +4.5 44
11 Grasshoppers 37 10 7 20 -8 -12.0 37
12 Lausanne Ouchy 37 6 8 23 -38 -25.3 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.