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Super League
Referee: L Piccolo
Luzern
U S T U S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Lausanne Ouchy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Super League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,95 xG 1,21
48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
12 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Luzern 7. · Lausanne Ouchy 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lugano 2 2 0 0 +4 +0.7 6
2 Servette 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Zurich 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Young Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 St. Gallen 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.5 3
6 Winterthur 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 Luzern 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Lausanne 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.6 1
9 Grasshoppers 2 0 1 1 -2 -0.6 1
10 Basel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Yverdon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
12 Lausanne Ouchy 1 0 0 1 -3 -0.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Lausanne Ouchy
26′
🟨 Valon Hamdiu
Jakub Kadák 🟨
30′
39′
🟨 Linus Obexer
Half-time 0–0
L. Villiger 🔁
↦ K. Ademi
46′
A. Jashari 🔁
↦ K. Spadanuda
46′
46′
🔁 R. Kadima
↦ L. Hajrulahu
1–0 L. Villiger
M. Meyer
50′
62′
🔁 F. Danho
↦ Z. Hadji
62′
🔁 N. Garcia
↦ M. Abdallah
T. Okou 🔁
↦ D. Ulrich
63′
66′
🔁 S. Maroufi
↦ L. Gassama
S. Ottiger 🔁
↦ J. Kadák
68′
79′
🟨 Giovani Bamba
Ismajl Beka 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 E. Mahmoud
↦ L. Mulaj
82′
E. Mahmoud 1–1
84′
🟨 Elies Mahmoud
2–1 L. Villiger
A. Jashari
85′
87′
🟨 Florian Danho
92′
ℹ️ Elies Mahmoud
VAR: Card upgrade
93′
🟥 Elies Mahmoud
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-3
1 P. Loretz G
20 P. Dorn D
46 M. Burch D
30 I. Beka D
13 M. Frýdek D
16 J. Kadák M
18 N. Beloko M
7 M. Meyer M
22 D. Ulrich F
99 K. Ademi F
10 K. Spadanuda F
Bench (9)
27 L. Villiger
6 A. Jashari
11 T. Okou
2 S. Ottiger
4 L. Jaquez
90 V. Vasić
21 Asumah Abubakar
33 L. Meyer
5 D. Simani

Coach: M. Frick

Lausanne Ouchy

4-2-3-1
1 D. Da Silva G
27 L. Gassama D
5 L. Hajrulahu D
4 L. Pos D
21 L. Obexer D
6 Giovani Bamba M
76 V. Hamdiu M
29 M. Abdallah M
10 M. Qarri M
18 L. Mulaj M
9 Z. Hadji F
Bench (7)
23 R. Kadima
31 F. Danho
20 N. Garcia
34 S. Maroufi
28 E. Mahmoud
74 J. Vachoux
77 M. Heule

Coach: A. Braizat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Piccolo · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.