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Super League

Referee: N Gianforte

Lausanne

U S T T U

0–2

Full-time

Luzern

U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 32%

29%

34%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

57%

46%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,29 xG 1,33

53% Possession 47%

20 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 4

9 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 5

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lausanne 10. · Luzern 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	35	20	8	7	+36	+5.2	68
2	Lugano	35	19	5	11	+17	+11.4	62
3	Servette	35	17	10	8	+16	+29.1	61
4	St. Gallen	35	15	9	11	+10	+14.0	54
5	Zurich	35	13	12	10	+9	+0.2	51
6	Winterthur	35	13	10	12	-4	-7.0	49
7	Luzern	35	12	10	13	-5	+1.7	46
8	Basel	36	12	9	15	-8	-3.9	45
9	Yverdon	36	12	7	17	-23	-18.4	43
10	Lausanne	35	10	11	14	-7	+1.5	41
11	Grasshoppers	36	10	7	19	-7	-11.4	37
12	Lausanne Ouchy	36	6	8	22	-34	-22.2	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	17	13	2	2	+32	+7.6	41
2	St. Gallen	18	11	4	3	+16	+9.2	37
3	Servette	18	11	4	3	+15	+19.7	37
4	Yverdon	18	11	4	3	+8	-4.6	37
5	Luzern	18	9	5	4	+6	+2.9	32
6	Winterthur	18	9	4	5	+2	+0.7	31
7	Lugano	17	9	3	5	+9	+9.7	30
8	Zurich	17	7	7	3	+6	-0.4	28
9	Grasshoppers	18	8	3	7	+8	-3.4	27
10	Lausanne	17	7	6	4	+7	+7.0	27
11	Basel	18	7	5	6	+3	-0.2	26
12	Lausanne Ouchy	18	3	6	9	-17	-7.8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	18	10	2	6	+8	+1.6	32
2	Young Boys	18	7	6	5	+4	-2.4	27
3	Servette	17	6	6	5	+1	+9.3	24
4	Zurich	18	6	5	7	+3	+0.6	23
5	Basel	18	5	4	9	-11	-3.7	19
6	Winterthur	17	4	6	7	-6	-7.7	18
7	St. Gallen	17	4	5	8	-6	+4.9	17
8	Luzern	17	3	5	9	-11	-1.3	14
9	Lausanne	18	3	5	10	-14	-5.6	14
10	Lausanne Ouchy	18	3	2	13	-17	-14.5	11
11	Grasshoppers	18	2	4	12	-15	-8.0	10
12	Yverdon	18	1	3	14	-31	-13.8	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.