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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Lugano

S T S S T

0–2

Full-time

Servette

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Servette

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 50%

54%

46%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

62%

49%

Both score Ø 58%

54%

62%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,80 xG 2,31

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 2. · Servette 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	37	22	8	7	+39	+6.5	74
2	Lugano	37	20	5	12	+18	+11.8	65
3	Servette	37	17	10	10	+14	+28.3	61
4	Zurich	37	15	12	10	+11	-0.4	57
5	St. Gallen	37	16	9	12	+10	+13.8	57
6	Luzern	38	13	10	15	-6	+1.3	49
7	Basel	38	13	10	15	-7	-1.6	49
8	Winterthur	37	13	10	14	-8	-7.2	49
9	Yverdon	38	13	8	17	-21	-19.8	47
10	Lausanne	38	11	12	15	-5	+5.6	45
11	Grasshoppers	38	10	8	20	-8	-13.1	38
12	Lausanne Ouchy	38	7	8	23	-37	-25.3	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	18	14	2	2	+34	+8.2	44
2	Yverdon	19	12	4	3	+10	-4.2	40
3	St. Gallen	18	11	4	3	+16	+9.2	37
4	Servette	19	11	4	4	+14	+19.1	37
5	Zurich	19	9	7	3	+8	-1.0	34
6	Lugano	18	10	3	5	+11	+9.5	33
7	Luzern	19	9	5	5	+5	+2.9	32
8	Winterthur	19	9	4	6	+0	+0.3	31
9	Lausanne	19	7	7	5	+5	+8.1	28
10	Grasshoppers	19	8	3	8	+7	-4.1	27
11	Basel	19	7	6	6	+3	+1.5	27
12	Lausanne Ouchy	19	3	6	10	-21	-10.8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	19	10	2	7	+7	+2.2	32
2	Young Boys	19	8	6	5	+5	-1.7	30
3	Servette	18	6	6	6	+0	+9.2	24
4	Zurich	18	6	5	7	+3	+0.6	23
5	Basel	19	6	4	9	-10	-3.1	22
6	St. Gallen	19	5	5	9	-6	+4.7	20
7	Winterthur	18	4	6	8	-8	-7.5	18
8	Lausanne	19	4	5	10	-10	-2.5	17
9	Luzern	19	4	5	10	-11	-1.6	17
10	Lausanne Ouchy	19	4	2	13	-16	-14.5	14
11	Grasshoppers	19	2	5	12	-15	-9.0	11
12	Yverdon	19	1	4	14	-31	-15.6	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.