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Super League

Referee: L Fähndrich

Luzern

S U U T S

1–1

Full-time

St. Gallen

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 40%

45%

34%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

66%

52%

Both score Ø 67%

72%

62%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,15 xG 1,37

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 5. · St. Gallen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	30	14	9	7	+9	+1.2	51
2	Basel	29	14	7	8	+28	+18.7	49
3	Young Boys	30	14	7	9	+11	+10.9	49
4	Lugano	30	14	6	10	+5	+8.5	48
5	Luzern	29	13	8	8	+8	+5.6	47
6	Zurich	30	13	7	10	+1	-3.6	46
7	Lausanne	30	11	8	11	+5	+7.7	41
8	St. Gallen	29	10	9	10	+1	-5.4	39
9	Sion	30	9	8	13	-7	+1.9	35
10	Yverdon	30	8	8	14	-18	-15.1	32
11	Grasshoppers	29	5	12	12	-12	-11.0	27
12	Winterthur	30	6	5	19	-31	-19.4	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	15	10	3	2	+18	+8.6	33
2	Lugano	16	9	3	4	+6	+10.1	30
3	Luzern	14	8	3	3	+8	+9.0	27
4	Basel	14	8	2	4	+12	+14.9	26
5	Lausanne	15	8	2	5	+9	+9.5	26
6	Servette	15	7	5	3	+5	+5.4	26
7	St. Gallen	14	6	6	2	+9	+4.8	24
8	Sion	15	6	6	3	+8	+11.5	24
9	Zurich	16	6	5	5	+0	-2.2	23
10	Yverdon	15	6	3	6	-3	-3.7	21
11	Winterthur	14	5	1	8	-9	-4.8	16
12	Grasshoppers	15	2	8	5	-4	+2.8	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	15	7	4	4	+4	-4.2	25
2	Basel	15	6	5	4	+16	+3.8	23
3	Zurich	14	7	2	5	+1	-1.4	23
4	Luzern	15	5	5	5	+0	-3.4	20
5	Lugano	14	5	3	6	-1	-1.6	18
6	Young Boys	15	4	4	7	-7	+2.3	16
7	Lausanne	15	3	6	6	-4	-1.8	15
8	St. Gallen	15	4	3	8	-8	-10.2	15
9	Grasshoppers	14	3	4	7	-8	-13.8	13
10	Yverdon	15	2	5	8	-15	-11.4	11
11	Sion	15	3	2	10	-15	-9.6	11
12	Winterthur	16	1	4	11	-22	-14.6	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.