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Super League
Referee: L Piccolo
Yverdon
S T T S T
2–2
Full-time
Luzern
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yverdon Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
24%
48%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
64%
Both score Ø 56%
44%
68%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,16 xG 2,33
45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Yverdon 10. · Luzern 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Basel 26 13 6 7 +27 +16.8 45
2 Servette 26 12 9 5 +7 +3.0 45
3 Luzern 25 12 6 7 +6 +4.6 42
4 Lugano 26 12 6 8 +5 +6.1 42
5 Zurich 26 11 6 9 +1 -5.0 39
6 Lausanne 26 10 7 9 +9 +9.6 37
7 Young Boys 25 10 7 8 +6 +7.9 37
8 St. Gallen 26 9 9 8 +2 -6.7 36
9 Sion 26 8 6 12 -7 +2.7 30
10 Yverdon 25 6 6 13 -18 -15.2 24
11 Grasshoppers 25 4 11 10 -10 -6.8 23
12 Winterthur 26 5 5 16 -28 -17.0 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Yverdon Luzern
Mateusz Łęgowski 🟨
23′
24′
🟨 Adrian Grbić
28′
🟨 Bung Meng Freimann
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Aké
M. Łęgowski
49′
52′
🟨 Levin Winkler
57′
🔁 A. Cigaņiks
↦ R. Fernandes
57′
🔁 N. Beloko
↦ L. Winkler
57′
🔁 K. Spadanuda
↦ T. Owusu
2–0 M. Baradji
V. Tasar
63′
64′
🔁 L. Villiger
↦ A. Grbic
J. Gnakpa 🔁
↦ F. Sylla
73′
74′
🔁 S. Karweina
↦ T. Klidje
76′
Kevin Spadanuda
penalty missed
84′
🟨 Lars Villiger
Jason Gnakpa 🟨
87′
88′
S. Karweina 2–1
89′
A. Stanković 2–2
A. Cigaņiks
Gonçalo Esteves 🔁
↦ M. Aké
90′
Ronaldo Tavares 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Yverdon

4-3-3
40 P. Bernardoni G
32 A. Sauthier D
25 Christian Marques D
2 M. Tijani D
18 V. Kongsro D
37 F. Sylla M
8 M. Łęgowski M
28 M. Baradji M
27 V. Tasar F
9 M. Aké F
19 A. Marchesano F
Bench (9)
24 J. Gnakpa
87 Gonçalo Esteves
20 Ronaldo Tavares
4 D. Diop
22 K. Martin
5 M. Grødem
15 C. Nuñez
16 M. Rouiller
77 A. Avdić

Coach: P. Tramezzani

Luzern

4-3-1-2
1 P. Loretz G
2 S. Ottiger D
5 S. Knezevic D
46 B. Freimann D
22 R. Fernandes D
29 L. Winkler M
8 A. Stanković M
24 T. Owusu M
20 P. Dorn M
9 A. Grbic F
17 T. Klidje F
Bench (8)
14 A. Cigaņiks
18 N. Beloko
7 K. Spadanuda
27 L. Villiger
10 S. Karweina
90 V. Vasić
16 J. Kadák
3 J. Löfgren

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Piccolo · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.