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Super League

Referee: S Wolfensberger

Zurich

T T S S T

3–2

Full-time

Luzern

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 43%

41%

44%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

48%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

56%

70%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,66 xG 1,78

54% Possession 46%

23 Shots 11

10 Shots on target 5

9 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zurich 8. · Luzern 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	28	13	9	6	+8	+2.4	48
2	Basel	27	13	7	7	+27	+17.0	46
3	Luzern	27	12	8	7	+6	+5.5	44
4	Lugano	27	12	6	9	+4	+6.0	42
5	Lausanne	28	11	7	10	+8	+7.6	40
6	Young Boys	27	11	7	9	+8	+10.4	40
7	St. Gallen	28	10	9	9	+2	-4.6	39
8	Zurich	27	11	6	10	-1	-5.0	39
9	Sion	27	9	6	12	-6	+2.8	33
10	Yverdon	28	8	7	13	-16	-15.1	31
11	Grasshoppers	27	5	11	11	-11	-9.5	26
12	Winterthur	27	5	5	17	-29	-17.7	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	14	9	3	2	+17	+7.7	30
2	Luzern	14	8	3	3	+8	+9.0	27
3	Lugano	14	8	3	3	+7	+8.5	27
4	Basel	13	8	2	3	+13	+14.9	26
5	Lausanne	14	8	2	4	+12	+9.4	26
6	Servette	14	7	5	2	+6	+5.0	26
7	St. Gallen	14	6	6	2	+9	+4.8	24
8	Sion	13	6	5	2	+9	+12.4	23
9	Yverdon	14	6	3	5	-1	-2.8	21
10	Zurich	14	5	4	5	-1	-2.1	19
11	Winterthur	13	5	1	7	-7	-3.1	16
12	Grasshoppers	13	2	7	4	-3	+4.3	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	14	6	4	4	+2	-2.6	22
2	Basel	14	5	5	4	+14	+2.1	20
3	Zurich	13	6	2	5	+0	-2.9	20
4	Luzern	13	4	5	4	-2	-3.4	17
5	Lugano	13	4	3	6	-3	-2.5	15
6	St. Gallen	14	4	3	7	-7	-9.4	15
7	Lausanne	14	3	5	6	-4	-1.8	14
8	Grasshoppers	14	3	4	7	-8	-13.8	13
9	Young Boys	13	2	4	7	-9	+2.7	10
10	Yverdon	14	2	4	8	-15	-12.3	10
11	Sion	14	3	1	10	-15	-9.6	10
12	Winterthur	14	0	4	10	-22	-14.6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.