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Super League

Referee: U Schnyder

St. Gallen

U S T T U

1–1

Full-time

Luzern

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 41%

43%

39%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

50%

54%

Both score Ø 58%

54%

61%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,26 xG 0,83

46% Possession 54%

19 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gallen 6. · Luzern 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	29	16	7	6	+29	+1.5	55
2	Servette	29	15	9	5	+17	+24.1	54
3	Lugano	29	15	4	10	+12	+8.8	49
4	Zurich	29	11	11	7	+10	+2.8	44
5	Winterthur	29	12	8	9	-1	-6.9	44
6	St. Gallen	28	12	5	11	+4	+12.6	41
7	Luzern	28	11	5	12	-4	+2.7	38
8	Yverdon	29	9	7	13	-20	-16.9	34
9	Basel	29	9	6	14	-11	-3.8	33
10	Lausanne	28	8	8	12	-5	-1.1	32
11	Grasshoppers	28	8	6	14	-3	-8.1	30
12	Lausanne Ouchy	29	4	8	17	-28	-15.6	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	14	11	2	1	+28	+5.4	35
2	Servette	14	9	4	1	+15	+15.4	31
3	St. Gallen	14	10	1	3	+12	+7.0	31
4	Winterthur	15	9	3	3	+5	+0.8	30
5	Yverdon	15	8	4	3	+2	-5.6	28
6	Zurich	14	7	6	1	+9	+1.4	27
7	Luzern	14	8	2	4	+5	+3.2	26
8	Lugano	14	7	3	4	+6	+6.6	24
9	Lausanne	14	6	4	4	+6	+3.8	22
10	Grasshoppers	14	6	3	5	+7	-2.0	21
11	Basel	15	5	4	6	+0	-2.0	19
12	Lausanne Ouchy	15	2	6	7	-16	-6.2	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	15	8	1	6	+6	+2.1	25
2	Servette	15	6	5	4	+2	+8.7	23
3	Young Boys	15	5	5	5	+1	-3.9	20
4	Zurich	15	4	5	6	+1	+1.4	17
5	Winterthur	14	3	5	6	-6	-7.7	14
6	Basel	14	4	2	8	-11	-1.9	14
7	Luzern	14	3	3	8	-9	-0.5	12
8	St. Gallen	14	2	4	8	-8	+5.6	10
9	Lausanne	14	2	4	8	-11	-5.0	10
10	Grasshoppers	14	2	3	9	-10	-6.1	9
11	Lausanne Ouchy	14	2	2	10	-12	-9.4	8
12	Yverdon	14	1	3	10	-22	-11.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.