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Super League
Referee: L Tschudi
Yverdon
T U U T U
3–2
Full-time
Zurich
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Yverdon Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 32%
22%
41%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
49%
59%
Both score Ø 57%
54%
59%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
4 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Yverdon 12. · Zurich 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Basel 37 21 7 9 +44 +22.4 70
2 Servette 37 17 11 9 +9 +0.7 62
3 Young Boys 37 17 9 11 +11 +8.2 60
4 Zurich 37 15 8 14 +0 -2.2 53
5 Lugano 37 15 8 14 -3 +7.7 53
6 Lausanne 37 14 10 13 +8 +10.2 52
7 Luzern 37 14 10 13 +6 +8.1 52
8 St. Gallen 37 13 13 11 +1 -3.7 52
9 Sion 37 11 11 15 -8 -0.1 44
10 Winterthur 37 10 7 20 -27 -21.7 37
11 Grasshoppers 37 8 12 17 -12 -12.6 36
12 Yverdon 37 8 12 17 -29 -17.1 36

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Yverdon Zurich
Kevin Martin 🟨
-5′
Anthony Sauthier 🟨
4′
Moussa Baradji 🟨
29′
1–0 Christian Marques
44′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 W. Le Pogam
53′
3–0 H. Komano
M. Aké
58′
62′
🔁 M. Bangoura
↦ C. Tsawa
62′
🔁 S. Hodza
↦ Rodrigo Conceição
70′
🟨 Samuel Ballet
75′
🔁 N. Lhakpa
↦ J. Markelo
75′
🔁 D. Reverson
↦ U. Emmanuel
Ronaldo Tavares 🔁
↦ H. Komano
77′
85′
D. Reverson 3–1
90′
🟨 Norbu Lhakpa
91′
D. Reverson 3–2
S. Zuber
M. Grødem 🔁
↦ Ronaldo Tavares
95′
95′
🔁 N. Di Giusto
↦ S. Zuber
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Yverdon

5-3-2
40 P. Bernardoni G
32 A. Sauthier D
25 Christian Marques D
2 M. Tijani D
18 V. Kongsro D
6 W. Le Pogam D
37 F. Sylla M
8 M. Łęgowski M
28 M. Baradji M
21 H. Komano F
9 M. Aké F
Bench (8)
20 Ronaldo Tavares
5 M. Grødem
15 C. Nuñez
16 M. Rouiller
7 Mauro Rodrigues
87 Gonçalo Esteves
22 K. Martin
24 J. Gnakpa

Coach: P. Tramezzani

Zurich

4-3-3
25 Y. Brecher G
2 L. Kamberi D
5 M. Gómez D
4 J. Gbamin D
27 Rodrigo Conceição D
17 S. Zuber M
6 C. Tsawa M
7 B. Krasniqi M
26 J. Markelo F
8 S. Ballet F
11 U. Emmanuel F
Bench (9)
13 M. Bangoura
32 S. Hodza
45 N. Lhakpa
29 D. Reverson
14 N. Di Giusto
38 M. Reichmuth
28 S. Huber
22 A. Oko-Flex
48 M. Rizzo

Coach: R. Moniz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Tschudi · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.