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Allsvenskan
Referee: Oscar Johnson
Hammarby
U S U S U
1–2
Full-time
Mjallby
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Mjallby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 65%
60%
70%
Points per game
2,1
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
40%
70%
Both score Ø 55%
40%
70%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,9
2,2
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,89 xG 1,09
55% Possession 45%
26 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 4. · Mjallby 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 10 7 2 1 +13 +1.5 23
2 Elfsborg 10 7 1 2 +9 +5.8 22
3 AIK 10 6 4 0 +7 +1.3 22
4 Hammarby 10 6 3 1 +12 +6.6 21
5 Malmo FF 10 5 3 2 +7 +6.7 18
6 Hacken 10 4 2 4 -1 +2.0 14
7 Norrkoping 10 4 1 5 +0 -4.1 13
8 Degerfors 10 4 1 5 -3 -0.7 13
9 Goteborg 10 4 1 5 -3 +1.7 13
10 GAIS 10 2 6 2 +1 +1.0 12
11 Djurgarden 9 3 2 4 -6 -1.5 11
12 Brommapojkarna 9 3 1 5 -2 +0.4 10
13 Halmstad 10 3 1 6 -12 -7.7 10
14 Sirius 10 2 3 5 -4 -3.7 9
15 Oster 10 2 1 7 -7 -5.7 7
16 Varnamo 10 0 2 8 -11 -3.7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Mjallby
21′
L. Thorell 0–1
T. Pettersson
1–1 M. Madjed
S. Tounekti
43′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 E. Stroud
↦ T. Stavitski
60′
🔁 H. Johansson
↦ U. Charles
60′
🔁 V. Gustafson
↦ R. Arrhenius
A. Boudah 🔁
↦ P. Abraham
61′
65′
A. Johansson 1–2
H. Johansson
70′
🔁 B. Bang-Kittilsen
↦ L. Thorell
M. Kabore 🔁
↦ S. Tounekti
77′
79′
🔁 J. Bergstrom
↦ A. Manneh
A. Lahdo 🔁
↦ M. Madjed
85′
I. Fofana 🔁
↦ P. Vagic
85′
J. Ortmark 🔁
↦ T. Tekie
85′
89′
🟨 Abdullah Iqbal
91′
🟨 Viktor Gustafson
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
2 H. Skoglund D
6 P. Vagic D
4 V. Eriksson D
19 S. Pinas D
8 M. Karlsson M
5 T. Tekie M
20 N. Besara M
26 M. Madjed F
7 P. Abraham F
18 S. Tounekti F
Bench (9)
27 F. Jakobsson
13 J. Karlsson
15 A. Lahdo
17 I. Fofana
21 S. Strand
22 J. Ortmark
23 A. Boudah
29 M. Kabore
3 F. Winther

Coach: Kim Alexander Hellberg

Mjallby

3-4-3
1 N. Tornqvist G
4 A. Noren D
5 A. Iqbal D
24 T. Pettersson D
26 U. Charles M
39 R. Arrhenius M
10 N. Rojkjaer M
11 T. Stavitski M
6 L. Thorell F
16 A. Johansson F
19 A. Manneh F
Bench (8)
35 A. Lundin
25 A. Miftari
17 E. Stroud
14 H. Johansson
27 L. Tidstrand
7 V. Gustafson
18 J. Bergstrom
15 B. Bang-Kittilsen

Coach: Anders Torstensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oscar Johnson · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.