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Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Stuttgart
U U T S S
2–2
Full-time
Union Berlin
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,2
4,0
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
64%
64%
Both score Ø 87%
91%
82%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,2
2,1
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 8. · Union Berlin 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leverkusen 11 7 4 0 +13 25
2 Bayern Munich 11 7 3 1 +18 24
3 RB Leipzig 11 7 3 1 +14 24
4 Wolfsburg 11 5 6 0 +7 21
5 Dortmund 11 6 1 4 +8 19
6 M'gladbach 12 4 6 2 +3 18
7 Union Berlin 11 4 5 2 +8 17
8 Stuttgart 11 4 5 2 +7 17
9 Ein Frankfurt 12 2 8 2 -3 14
10 Augsburg 11 3 4 4 -3 13
11 Hertha 11 3 3 5 -1 12
12 Hoffenheim 11 3 3 5 -2 12
13 Werder Bremen 11 2 5 4 -5 11
14 Freiburg 11 2 5 4 -8 11
15 FC Koln 11 2 4 5 -4 10
16 Bielefeld 11 2 1 8 -14 7
17 Mainz 11 1 2 8 -13 5
18 Schalke 04 11 0 4 7 -25 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Union Berlin
Konstantinos Mavropanos 🟨
3′
4′
M. Friedrich 0–1
C. Trimmel
Mateo Klimowicz 🟨
31′
35′
🟨 Grischa Prömel
Half-time 0–1
D. Didavi 🔁
↦ M. Klimowicz
46′
T. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ B. Sosa
46′
P. Stenzel 🔁
↦ K. Mavropanos
53′
55′
🟨 Sebastian Griesbeck
Nicolás González 🟨
56′
61′
🔁 M. Bülter
↦ S. Becker
68′
🔁 J. Ryerson
↦ C. Teuchert
76′
T. Awoniyi 0–2
C. Lenz
P. Klement 🔁
↦ P. Förster
80′
S. Kalajdzic 🔁
↦ M. Kempf
80′
1–2 S. Kalajdzic
P. Klement
84′
87′
🔁 A. Gogia
↦ S. Griesbeck
2–2 S. Kalajdzic
D. Didavi
89′
Saša Kalajdžić ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
90′
90′
🟨 Akaki Gogia
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-1-4-2
1 G. Kobel G
4 M. Kempf D
2 W. Anton D
24 B. Sosa M
5 K. Mavropanos D
8 G. Castro M
3 W. Endo M
20 P. Förster M
31 M. Klimowicz F
22 N. González F
14 S. Wamangituka M
Bench (8)
10 D. Didavi
7 T. Coulibaly
15 P. Stenzel
21 P. Klement
9 S. Kalajdzic
33 F. Bredlow
35 M. Kamiński
19 D. Churlinov

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Union Berlin

5-3-2
1 A. Luthe G
28 C. Trimmel D
23 N. Gießelmann D
31 R. Knoche D
25 C. Lenz D
5 M. Friedrich D
33 S. Griesbeck M
21 G. Prömel M
27 S. Becker F
14 T. Awoniyi F
36 C. Teuchert M
Bench (7)
15 M. Bülter
6 J. Ryerson
7 A. Gogia
20 L. Karius
18 K. Endo
35 L. Moser
16 T. Maciejewski

Coach: U. Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U ✓
3,52
B
3,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.