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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
RB Leipzig
S T U T T
4–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
6,0
Scored
0,0
5,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
26 Shots 11
11 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RB Leipzig 13. · Stuttgart 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 M'gladbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Bayern Munich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Union Berlin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Leverkusen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Freiburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Hertha 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Ein Frankfurt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig Stuttgart
1–0 D. Szoboszlai
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Didavi
↦ H. Al Ghaddioui
2–0 E. Forsberg
André Silva
46′
3–0 D. Szoboszlai
52′
64′
🟨 Marc-Oliver Kempf
4–0 André Silva
65′
68′
🟨 Philipp Förster
K. Laimer 🔁
↦ D. Szoboszlai
68′
M. Sabitzer 🔁
↦ A. Haïdara
69′
Hwang Hee-Chan 🔁
↦ André Silva
69′
71′
🟨 Konstantinos Mavropanos
73′
🔁 S. Kalajdzic
↦ M. Klimowicz
73′
🔁 E. Millot
↦ P. Klement
N. Mukiele 🔁
↦ W. Orban
76′
81′
🔁 E. Thommy
↦ P. Förster
Y. Poulsen 🔁
↦ C. Nkunku
82′
84′
🔁 P. Stenzel
↦ K. Mavropanos
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
1 P. Gulácsi G
4 W. Orban D
16 L. Klostermann D
2 M. Simakan D
32 J. Gvardiol D
10 E. Forsberg M
18 C. Nkunku M
14 T. Adams M
8 A. Haïdara M
17 D. Szoboszlai M
33 André Silva F
Bench (9)
27 K. Laimer
7 M. Sabitzer
11 Hwang Hee-Chan
22 N. Mukiele
9 Y. Poulsen
31 Josep Martínez
21 B. Brobbey
44 K. Kampl
37 S. Raebiger

Coach: J. Marsch

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 F. Müller G
4 M. Kempf D
2 W. Anton D
24 B. Sosa M
5 K. Mavropanos D
3 W. Endo M
21 P. Klement M
20 P. Förster F
31 M. Klimowicz F
30 R. Massimo M
18 H. Al Ghaddioui F
Bench (8)
10 D. Didavi
9 S. Kalajdzic
8 E. Millot
11 E. Thommy
15 P. Stenzel
37 H. Ito
6 C. Mola
33 F. Bredlow

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,42
U
4,98
B
7,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,54
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.