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Championship

Referee: G Eltringham

Bristol City

T T U T S

0–1

Full-time

Swansea

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Swansea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

This season — Championship · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

1 Corners 2

3 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bristol City 11. · Swansea 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Luton	4	3	0	1	+6	9
2	West Brom	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	QPR	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Bournemouth	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Stoke	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Blackburn	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Cardiff	4	1	3	0	+2	6
9	Coventry	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Middlesbrough	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Bristol City	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Derby	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Peterboro	3	1	1	1	-2	4
16	Peterborough	3	1	1	1	-2	4
17	Huddersfield	3	1	1	1	-3	4
18	Reading	3	1	0	2	-1	3
19	Hull	3	1	0	2	-1	3
20	Millwall	3	0	2	1	-1	2
21	Swansea	3	0	1	2	-3	1
22	Blackpool	3	0	1	2	-3	1
23	Sheffield United	3	0	1	2	-5	1
24	Nott'm Forest	3	0	0	3	-3	0
25	Preston	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Luton	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	West Brom	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Peterboro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Peterborough	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Middlesbrough	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Reading	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Barnsley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Huddersfield	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Millwall	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Swansea	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Birmingham	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Nott'm Forest	2	0	0	2	-2	0
23	Preston	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Blackpool	2	0	0	2	-3	0
25	Hull	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	QPR	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Cardiff	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Blackburn	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Hull	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Luton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Coventry	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Derby	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Sheffield United	2	0	1	1	-4	1
20	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	0
24	Peterboro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.