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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Stuttgart
U S S S S
0–0
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 42%
40%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
32%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
36%
64%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 10. · RB Leipzig 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 26 21 3 2 +47 66
2 Schalke 04 26 13 7 6 +10 46
3 Leverkusen 26 12 8 6 +14 44
4 Dortmund 25 11 9 5 +19 42
5 Ein Frankfurt 25 12 6 7 +6 42
6 RB Leipzig 25 11 6 8 +4 39
7 Hoffenheim 26 10 8 8 +5 38
8 Augsburg 26 9 8 9 +3 35
9 M'gladbach 26 10 5 11 -6 35
10 Stuttgart 25 10 3 12 -6 33
11 Hertha 26 7 11 8 -1 32
12 Hannover 26 8 8 10 -5 32
13 Freiburg 26 6 12 8 -17 30
14 Werder Bremen 25 6 9 10 -6 27
15 Wolfsburg 26 4 13 9 -8 25
16 Mainz 26 6 7 13 -14 25
17 Hamburg 26 4 6 16 -23 18
18 FC Koln 25 4 5 16 -22 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart RB Leipzig
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Bruma
↦ A. Lookman
52′
🟨 Lukas Klostermann
64′
🔁 E. Forsberg
↦ Y. Poulsen
70′
🟨 Bernardo
C. Akolo 🔁
↦ E. Thommy
76′
77′
🔁 J. Augustin
↦ T. Werner
M. Kamiński 🔁
↦ S. Ascacíbar
85′
O. Mangala 🔁
↦ D. Ginczek
91′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-4-2
16 R. Zieler G
32 A. Beck D
2 E. Insúa D
3 D. Aogo M
28 H. Badstuber D
21 B. Pavard D
20 C. Gentner M
17 E. Thommy M
6 S. Ascacíbar M
27 M. Gómez F
33 D. Ginczek F
Bench (7)
19 C. Akolo
35 M. Kamiński
23 O. Mangala
13 J. Grahl
14 A. Donis
31 B. Özcan
34 Jacob Bruun Larsen

Coach: T. Korkut

RB Leipzig

4-2-2-2
32 P. Gulácsi G
4 W. Orban D
16 L. Klostermann D
3 Bernardo D
6 I. Konaté D
31 D. Demme M
7 M. Sabitzer M
8 N. Keïta M
9 Y. Poulsen F
11 T. Werner F
18 A. Lookman F
Bench (7)
17 Bruma
10 E. Forsberg
29 J. Augustin
5 D. Upamecano
13 S. Ilsanker
20 B. Schmitz
28 Y. Mvogo

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.