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2. Bundesliga

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S T S T T

2–2

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

1,7

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-2,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,3

0,0

Conceded

1,7

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

19 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

9 Corners 2

8 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 14. · Holstein Kiel 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Dresden	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Karlsruhe	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	St Pauli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Paderborn	3	1	2	0	+3	5
6	Nurnberg	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Heidenheim	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Hansa Rostock	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Darmstadt	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Erzgebirge Aue	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Sandhausen	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Ingolstadt	3	0	0	3	-9	0
18	Holstein Kiel	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dresden	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	St Pauli	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Nurnberg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Darmstadt	2	1	0	1	+3	3
5	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Heidenheim	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Sandhausen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Ingolstadt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Holstein Kiel	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Hansa Rostock	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Erzgebirge Aue	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Dresden	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Ingolstadt	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.