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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martínez
Getafe
T T T U U
0–3
Full-time
Celta
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 11%
0%
22%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,1
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
11 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 20. · Celta 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 10 6 3 1 +5 21
2 Real Madrid 9 6 2 1 +13 20
3 Sevilla 9 6 2 1 +10 20
4 Ath Madrid 9 5 3 1 +5 18
5 Betis 10 5 3 2 +4 18
6 Osasuna 10 5 3 2 +1 18
7 Vallecano 10 5 1 4 +5 16
8 Ath Bilbao 9 4 4 1 +4 16
9 Barcelona 9 4 3 2 +5 15
10 Valencia 10 3 4 3 +2 13
11 Espanol 10 3 4 3 +0 13
12 Mallorca 10 3 3 4 -6 12
13 Villarreal 9 2 5 2 +3 11
14 Elche 10 2 4 4 -4 10
15 Celta 9 2 1 6 -5 7
16 Granada 9 1 4 4 -6 7
17 Cadiz 10 1 4 5 -8 7
18 Alaves 9 2 0 7 -9 6
19 Levante 10 0 5 5 -9 5
20 Getafe 9 0 2 7 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Celta
Chema 🟥
-5′
42′
🟨 Joseph Aidoo
Half-time 0–0
E. Ünal 🔁
↦ Sandro Ramírez
46′
55′
Santi Mina 0–1
Brais Méndez
58′
Iago Aspas 0–2
Brais Méndez
Darío Poveda 🔁
↦ Timor
60′
Djené ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
62′
Djené 🟥
63′
S. Mitrović 🔁
↦ Carles Aleñá
67′
67′
🔁 N. Araújo
↦ J. Aidoo
71′
🔁 F. Cervi
↦ Iago Aspas
71′
🔁 Thiago Galhardo
↦ Nolito
73′
Santi Mina 0–3
Thiago Galhardo
Mathias Olivera 🟨
80′
Damián Suárez 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 O. Yokuşlu
↦ Denis Suárez
80′
🔁 Hugo Álvarez
↦ Santi Mina
83′
🟨 Jeison Murillo
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-1-1
13 David Soria G
22 D. Suárez D
2 D. Dakonam D
17 M. Olivera D
15 Jorge Cuenca D
24 Timor M
20 N. Maksimović F
18 M. Arambarri M
11 Carles Aleñá M
5 Florentino Luís M
12 Sandro Ramírez F
Bench (12)
10 E. Ünal
19 Darío Poveda
23 S. Mitrović
14 J. Silva
21 Juan Iglesias
3 E. Cabaco
27 Diego Conde
9 J. Macías
1 Rubén Yáñez
6 Chema Rodríguez
28 E. Akurugu
4 A. Nyom

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Celta

4-1-3-2
1 M. Dituro G
2 Hugo Mallo D
24 J. Murillo D
15 J. Aidoo D
17 Javier Galán D
6 Denis Suárez M
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 Nolito M
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (12)
4 N. Araújo
11 F. Cervi
7 Thiago Galhardo
5 O. Yokuşlu
35 Hugo Álvarez
21 A. Solari
34 Fernando Medrano
37 Coke Carrillo
16 Miguel Baeza
33 Hugo Sotelo
13 Rubén Blanco
20 Kevin Vázquez

Coach: E. Coudet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,65
U
2,94
B ✓
3,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,67
U2,5
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.