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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Celta
U T T T S
1–0
Full-time
Granada
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%
14 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 16. · Granada 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 7 5 2 0 +13 17
2 Sociedad 7 5 1 1 +4 16
3 Sevilla 6 4 2 0 +8 14
4 Ath Madrid 7 4 2 1 +3 14
5 Vallecano 7 4 1 2 +6 13
6 Barcelona 6 3 3 0 +6 12
7 Betis 7 3 3 1 +4 12
8 Valencia 7 3 2 2 +4 11
9 Osasuna 7 3 2 2 -1 11
10 Ath Bilbao 7 2 4 1 +2 10
11 Villarreal 6 1 5 0 +3 8
12 Mallorca 7 2 2 3 -6 8
13 Espanol 7 1 3 3 -3 6
14 Cadiz 7 1 3 3 -4 6
15 Elche 7 1 3 3 -4 6
16 Celta 6 1 1 4 -4 4
17 Levante 7 0 4 3 -6 4
18 Granada 6 0 3 3 -6 3
19 Alaves 6 1 0 5 -9 3
20 Getafe 7 0 0 7 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Granada
Brais Méndez 🟨
12′
19′
🔁 Montoro
↦ M. Gonalons
Half-time 0–0
Denis Suárez 🔁
↦ Fran Beltrán
46′
F. Cervi 🔁
↦ Nolito
62′
67′
🟨 Antonio Puertas
68′
🔁 Jorge Molina
↦ C. Bacca
69′
🟨 Domingos Duarte
77′
🔁 Aarón Escandell
↦ Luís Maximiano
77′
🔁 Escudero
↦ Antonio Puertas
77′
🔁 Víctor Díaz
↦ Domingos Duarte
Thiago Galhardo 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
78′
85′
🟨 Ángel Montoro
O. Yokuşlu 🔁
↦ N. Araújo
86′
A. Solari 🔁
↦ R. Tapia
86′
1–0 Denis Suárez
Santi Mina
94′
95′
🟨 Quini
Iago Aspas 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 Aarón Escandell
97′
🟨 Carlos Neva
99′
🟨 Jorge Molina
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Celta

4-1-3-2
1 M. Dituro G
2 Hugo Mallo D
24 J. Murillo D
4 N. Araújo D
17 Javier Galán D
14 R. Tapia M
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 Nolito M
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (10)
6 Denis Suárez
11 F. Cervi
7 Thiago Galhardo
5 O. Yokuşlu
21 A. Solari
13 Rubén Blanco
28 Carlos Domínguez
20 Kevin Vázquez
16 Miguel Baeza
19 José Fontán

Coach: E. Coudet

Granada

4-4-2
1 Luís Maximiano G
6 Germán Sánchez D
17 Quini D
22 Domingos Duarte D
15 Carlos Neva D
4 M. Gonalons M
10 Antonio Puertas M
5 Luis Milla M
7 Alberto Soro M
20 C. Bacca F
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (12)
19 Montoro
23 Jorge Molina
13 Aarón Escandell
3 Escudero
16 Víctor Díaz
26 Ismael Ruiz
21 Rochina
18 L. Abram
28 Raúl Torrente
14 Monchu
2 S. Arias
11 D. Machís

Coach: Robert Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
4,02
B
5,24
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.