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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Celta

T S T T T

0–1

Full-time

Getafe

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Getafe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

18%

36%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

18%

36%

Both score Ø 50%

36%

64%

Average goals

1,8

2,9

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

6 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 18. · Getafe 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	7	1	3	+15	22
2	Real Madrid	11	6	4	1	+12	22
3	Ath Madrid	12	5	6	1	+5	21
4	Sevilla	12	6	3	3	+2	21
5	Granada	11	6	2	3	+5	20
6	Sociedad	11	6	1	4	+6	19
7	Villarreal	12	5	3	4	+9	18
8	Osasuna	12	4	6	2	+3	18
9	Ath Bilbao	12	4	5	3	+4	17
10	Levante	12	5	2	5	+1	17
11	Valladolid	12	4	5	3	+0	17
12	Valencia	12	4	5	3	-1	17
13	Getafe	11	4	4	3	+2	16
14	Betis	12	3	4	5	-7	13
15	Eibar	11	3	3	5	-4	12
16	Alaves	12	3	3	6	-7	12
17	Mallorca	12	3	2	7	-9	11
18	Celta	11	2	3	6	-8	9
19	Espanol	12	2	2	8	-14	8
20	Leganes	11	1	2	8	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+10	14
3	Ath Bilbao	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Villarreal	6	3	3	0	+9	12
5	Osasuna	6	3	3	0	+5	12
6	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+4	12
7	Granada	5	4	0	1	+4	12
8	Getafe	6	3	2	1	+4	11
9	Levante	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Alaves	6	3	2	1	+4	11
11	Betis	6	3	2	1	+3	11
12	Sevilla	6	3	2	1	+3	11
13	Mallorca	7	3	2	2	+1	11
14	Valencia	6	2	4	0	+3	10
15	Sociedad	5	3	0	2	+5	9
16	Valladolid	5	2	3	0	+5	9
17	Eibar	5	3	0	2	+0	9
18	Celta	6	2	1	3	-3	7
19	Leganes	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Espanol	6	0	0	6	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
2	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	-1	10
3	Ath Madrid	6	2	3	1	+1	9
4	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Granada	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	Espanol	6	2	2	2	-3	8
7	Valladolid	7	2	2	3	-5	8
8	Barcelona	6	2	1	3	+0	7
9	Valencia	6	2	1	3	-4	7
10	Villarreal	6	2	0	4	+0	6
11	Osasuna	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Levante	6	2	0	4	-3	6
13	Getafe	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Ath Bilbao	6	0	4	2	-3	4
15	Eibar	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Celta	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Betis	6	0	2	4	-10	2
18	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-9	1
19	Alaves	6	0	1	5	-11	1
20	Mallorca	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.