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Primeira Liga

Referee: Tiago Martins

Gil Vicente

T U U T U

0–1

Full-time

Sp Braga

U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

21 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

11 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gil Vicente 10. · Sp Braga 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	9	8	0	1	+15	24
2	Porto	9	7	2	0	+15	23
3	Sp Lisbon	9	7	2	0	+10	23
4	Estoril	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Portimonense	9	4	2	3	+2	14
6	Sp Braga	8	3	4	1	+4	13
7	Guimaraes	9	3	4	2	+3	13
8	Boavista	8	2	4	2	+0	10
9	Pacos Ferreira	9	2	4	3	-3	10
10	Gil Vicente	8	2	3	3	+0	9
11	Tondela	9	3	0	6	-4	9
12	Vizela	9	1	5	3	-7	8
13	Maritimo	9	1	4	4	-4	7
14	Moreirense	9	1	4	4	-7	7
15	Famalicao	9	1	3	5	-4	6
16	Arouca	9	1	3	5	-8	6
17	Santa Clara	9	1	3	5	-12	6
18	Belenenses	8	0	4	4	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Porto	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Benfica	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Boavista	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+2	7
6	Pacos Ferreira	5	1	3	1	+0	6
7	Vizela	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Tondela	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Sp Braga	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Estoril	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Santa Clara	5	1	2	2	-6	5
12	Gil Vicente	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Moreirense	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Arouca	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Portimonense	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Maritimo	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Famalicao	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Belenenses	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Estoril	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Porto	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Portimonense	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Sp Braga	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Guimaraes	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Gil Vicente	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Famalicao	5	1	1	3	-2	4
10	Maritimo	5	1	1	3	-2	4
11	Pacos Ferreira	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Tondela	4	1	0	3	-2	3
13	Moreirense	5	0	3	2	-6	3
14	Belenenses	4	0	2	2	-4	2
15	Boavista	4	0	2	2	-5	2
16	Arouca	5	0	2	3	-6	2
17	Vizela	4	0	2	2	-7	2
18	Santa Clara	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.