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La Liga

Referee: Miguel Ortiz

Osasuna

T U U U T

1–3

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 27%

28%

26%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

33%

26%

Both score Ø 46%

44%

47%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 7

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 14. · Ath Bilbao 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	20	14	4	2	+24	46
2	Sevilla	18	11	5	2	+16	38
3	Betis	19	10	3	6	+9	33
4	Ath Madrid	19	9	5	5	+9	32
5	Barcelona	19	8	7	4	+8	31
6	Vallecano	19	9	3	7	+6	30
7	Sociedad	19	8	6	5	+0	30
8	Villarreal	19	7	7	5	+11	28
9	Valencia	19	7	7	5	+3	28
10	Espanol	19	7	5	7	+0	26
11	Ath Bilbao	19	5	9	5	+1	24
12	Celta	19	6	5	8	+0	23
13	Granada	19	5	8	6	-3	23
14	Osasuna	18	5	7	6	-5	22
15	Mallorca	19	4	8	7	-11	20
16	Getafe	19	4	6	9	-7	18
17	Elche	19	3	7	9	-9	16
18	Alaves	19	4	4	11	-14	16
19	Cadiz	18	2	8	8	-16	14
20	Levante	19	0	8	11	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	9	8	1	0	+16	25
2	Sevilla	9	7	2	0	+13	23
3	Real Madrid	9	6	3	0	+13	21
4	Villarreal	10	6	2	2	+13	20
5	Barcelona	10	6	2	2	+8	20
6	Espanol	9	6	2	1	+7	20
7	Ath Madrid	9	5	3	1	+8	18
8	Betis	10	5	2	3	+7	17
9	Valencia	10	4	4	2	+5	16
10	Sociedad	9	4	3	2	+0	15
11	Granada	9	4	2	3	+1	14
12	Ath Bilbao	10	4	2	4	+1	14
13	Getafe	10	4	2	4	+1	14
14	Mallorca	10	2	6	2	+0	12
15	Elche	9	2	5	2	-1	11
16	Alaves	10	3	2	5	-5	11
17	Celta	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Osasuna	9	1	5	3	-6	8
19	Levante	9	0	6	3	-6	6
20	Cadiz	9	0	5	4	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	8	1	2	+11	25
2	Betis	9	5	1	3	+2	16
3	Celta	9	4	3	2	+4	15
4	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+3	15
5	Sociedad	10	4	3	3	+0	15
6	Ath Madrid	10	4	2	4	+1	14
7	Osasuna	9	4	2	3	+1	14
8	Valencia	9	3	3	3	-2	12
9	Barcelona	9	2	5	2	+0	11
10	Ath Bilbao	9	1	7	1	+0	10
11	Granada	10	1	6	3	-4	9
12	Cadiz	9	2	3	4	-8	9
13	Villarreal	9	1	5	3	-2	8
14	Mallorca	9	2	2	5	-11	8
15	Espanol	10	1	3	6	-7	6
16	Elche	10	1	2	7	-8	5
17	Alaves	9	1	2	6	-9	5
18	Vallecano	10	1	2	7	-10	5
19	Getafe	9	0	4	5	-8	4
20	Levante	10	0	2	8	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.