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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Ath Bilbao
T U U T U
0–1
Full-time
Sevilla
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 16/15 matches
Win Ø 43%
25%
60%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 26%
19%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
44%
40%
Average goals
1,5
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 10. · Sevilla 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 16 12 3 1 +22 39
2 Sevilla 15 9 4 2 +14 31
3 Betis 16 9 3 4 +8 30
4 Ath Madrid 15 8 5 2 +11 29
5 Sociedad 16 8 5 3 +6 29
6 Vallecano 16 8 3 5 +8 27
7 Valencia 17 6 7 4 +3 25
8 Barcelona 15 6 5 4 +6 23
9 Espanol 17 6 5 6 +1 23
10 Ath Bilbao 16 4 9 3 +2 21
11 Osasuna 16 5 6 5 -4 21
12 Mallorca 17 4 8 5 -7 20
13 Celta 17 4 5 8 -4 17
14 Villarreal 15 3 7 5 -1 16
15 Granada 15 3 6 6 -7 15
16 Elche 17 3 6 8 -8 15
17 Alaves 16 4 3 9 -9 15
18 Getafe 17 2 6 9 -9 12
19 Cadiz 16 2 6 8 -16 12
20 Levante 17 0 8 9 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Sevilla
38′
T. Delaney 0–1
G. Montiel
Half-time 0–1
Íñigo Lekue 🟨
52′
Oihan Sancet 🔁
↦ Raúl García
57′
Dani García 🟨
62′
Unai Vencedor 🟨
65′
Alex Petxarroman 🔁
↦ Lekue
66′
Oier Zarraga 🔁
↦ Dani García
66′
66′
🔁 K. Rekik
↦ L. Augustinsson
66′
🔁 Joan Jordán
↦ Óliver Torres
73′
🟨 Fernando
Álex Berenguer 🔁
↦ Nico Williams
75′
78′
🔁 M. El-Haddadi
↦ Rafa Mir
85′
🔁 N. Gudelj
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
88′
🟨 Karim Rekik
90′
🟨 Jules Koundé
Iñigo Martínez 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-4-2
1 Unai Simón G
24 Balenziaga D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
5 Yeray D
15 Lekue D
22 Raúl García F
14 Dani García M
16 Unai Vencedor M
10 Muniain M
9 Williams F
30 Nico Williams M
Bench (11)
8 Oihan Sancet
2 Alex Petxarroman
19 Oier Zarraga
7 Álex Berenguer
13 Jokin Ezkieta
3 Unai Núñez
18 De Marcos
11 Jon Morcillo
33 Nico Serrano
6 Mikel Vesga
21 Capa

Coach: Marcelino

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
13 Y. Bounou G
3 L. Augustinsson D
20 Diego Carlos D
2 G. Montiel D
23 J. Koundé D
24 A. Gómez M
25 Fernando M
18 T. Delaney M
21 Óliver Torres M
14 Óscar Rodríguez M
12 Rafa Mir F
Bench (11)
4 K. Rekik
8 Joan Jordán
11 M. El-Haddadi
6 N. Gudelj
36 Iván Romero
32 Juanlu
1 M. Dmitrović
31 Javi Díaz
22 O. Idrissi
43 Nacho Quintana
27 Luismi Cruz

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,54
U
3,06
B ✓
3,10
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,48
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.