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Copa del Rey

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra

Saguntino

0–0

Full-time

Vallecano

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Saguntino Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

0,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

23% Possession 77%

5 Shots 24

3 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 6

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

5 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Saguntino 37. · Vallecano 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Elche	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Intercity	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Celta	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Ibiza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	CD Coria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Granada	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Saguntino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Arenas Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Fuentes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Alcora	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
55	Alcorcon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
56	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Mérida AD	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Arnedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Gernika	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Burgos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
75	Rincón	2	0	1	1	-3	1
76	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
77	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	CD Coria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Saguntino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Arenas Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
19	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Arnedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Gernika	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
30	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
31	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Fuentes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Alcora	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Rincón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Mallorca	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Elche	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Celta	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Alcora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Fuentes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Ibiza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Granada	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Mérida AD	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Rincón	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Burgos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Saguntino Vallecano

J. Acevedo 🟨

17′

Half-time 0–0

Nacho Ramón 🔁

↦ Jorge Domingo

57′

César Díaz 🔁

↦ Carlos Esteve

57′

N. Ramon 🟨

61′

64′

🔁 Fran García

↦ Pep Chavarría

64′

🔁 Isi Palazón

↦ Andrés Martín

David Escudero 🔁

↦ Ximo Forner

71′

Ferrán Giner 🔁

↦ Luis Navarro

71′

José Álvarez 🔁

↦ Juanma Acevedo

77′

🔁 R. Falcao

↦ Sergio Camello

77′

🔁 Álvaro García

↦ Bebé

J. Alvarez 🟨

80′

98′

🔁 José Ángel Pozo

↦ Ó. Trejo

Gonzalo Serrano 🔁

↦ César Díaz

105′

🔁 P. Ciss

↦ Santi Comesaña

C. Esteve 🟨

121′

Kike Torrent ❌

penalty missed

121′

122′

⚽ R. Falcao 0–1

Carlos Moreno ❌

penalty missed

123′

124′

⚽ Isi Palazón 0–2

1–2 Gonzalo Serrano ⚽

125′

126′

⚽ Mario Suárez 1–3

Nacho Ramón ❌

penalty missed

127′

Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Saguntino

4-3-3

Marcos Lavín G

20 Carlos Moreno D

2 Héctor Rodas D

3 Kike Torrent D

4 Enrique Sampedro D

10 Ximo Forner M

7 Juanma Acevedo F

6 S. N'Diaye M

22 Luis Navarro M

9 Carlos Esteve F

12 Jorge Domingo F

Bench (11)

17 Nacho Ramón

11 César Díaz

5 David Escudero

21 Ferrán Giner

15 José Álvarez

18 Gonzalo Serrano

14 Leo Ramírez

19 Álex Camacho

8 Sergio Boix

13 Joan Ramos

16 Roan Bañuls

Coach: Gerard Albadalejo

Vallecano

4-2-3-1

13 Diego López G

4 Mario Suárez D

Catena D

2 Mario Hernández D

Pep Chavarría D

8 Ó. Trejo M

Óscar Valentín M

Santi Comesaña M

10 Bebé M

Andrés Martín M

Sergio Camello F

Bench (11)

3 Fran García

7 Isi Palazón

9 R. Falcao

18 Álvaro García

22 José Ángel Pozo

21 P. Ciss

24 E. Saveljich

17 Unai López

19 F. Lejeune

20 I. Balliu

1 S. Dimitrievski

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

12. Nov CDR 3 years ago

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,0 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

25,8 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Saguntino

Vallecano

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee