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La Liga

Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero

Sociedad

S S S U U

0–1

Full-time

Real Madrid

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 60%

41%

78%

Points per game

1,6

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

47%

53%

Both score Ø 53%

56%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,4

2,2

Conceded

1,1

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,59 xG 0,39

56% Possession 44%

9 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 3

2 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sociedad 6. · Real Madrid 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	32	25	6	1	+48	+32.1	81
2	Barcelona	32	21	7	4	+27	+34.3	70
3	Girona	32	21	5	6	+27	+12.9	68
4	Ath Madrid	32	19	4	9	+21	+19.6	61
5	Ath Bilbao	32	16	10	6	+22	+14.3	58
6	Sociedad	32	13	12	7	+12	+7.2	51
7	Betis	32	12	12	8	+2	-6.1	48
8	Valencia	32	13	8	11	+1	-5.7	47
9	Villarreal	32	11	9	12	-4	-1.7	42
10	Getafe	32	9	13	10	-6	-7.8	40
11	Osasuna	32	11	6	15	-9	-6.2	39
12	Sevilla	32	9	10	13	-4	-9.0	37
13	Las Palmas	32	10	7	15	-9	-22.4	37
14	Alaves	32	9	8	15	-10	-1.2	35
15	Vallecano	32	7	13	12	-12	-4.0	34
16	Celta	32	7	10	15	-10	-4.4	31
17	Mallorca	32	6	13	13	-12	-6.8	31
18	Cadiz	32	4	13	15	-23	-14.6	25
19	Granada	32	3	9	20	-28	-17.4	18
20	Almeria	32	1	11	20	-33	-13.0	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	14	2	0	+31	+23.0	44
2	Ath Madrid	16	14	1	1	+20	+17.6	43
3	Girona	16	13	2	1	+25	+11.6	41
4	Ath Bilbao	17	11	5	1	+22	+15.6	38
5	Barcelona	16	12	1	3	+15	+19.5	37
6	Betis	16	8	6	2	+9	+6.6	30
7	Valencia	16	8	5	3	+9	+3.6	29
8	Getafe	16	8	5	3	+4	-0.4	29
9	Sociedad	15	6	6	3	+6	+3.9	24
10	Alaves	16	7	3	6	+0	+4.5	24
11	Las Palmas	16	6	4	6	+2	-6.2	22
12	Mallorca	16	5	7	4	+1	-0.7	22
13	Osasuna	16	6	3	7	-5	+0.9	21
14	Sevilla	16	5	5	6	-1	-2.4	20
15	Villarreal	16	5	4	7	+0	+5.2	19
16	Cadiz	16	4	7	5	-4	+4.1	19
17	Celta	16	4	5	7	-4	+7.8	17
18	Vallecano	16	3	8	5	-7	-2.3	17
19	Granada	16	3	6	7	-6	-2.3	15
20	Almeria	16	0	8	8	-15	-0.6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	11	4	1	+17	+9.1	37
2	Barcelona	16	9	6	1	+12	+14.8	33
3	Sociedad	17	7	6	4	+6	+3.3	27
4	Girona	16	8	3	5	+2	+1.3	27
5	Villarreal	16	6	5	5	-4	-6.9	23
6	Ath Bilbao	15	5	5	5	+0	-1.3	20
7	Ath Madrid	16	5	3	8	+1	+2.0	18
8	Osasuna	16	5	3	8	-4	-7.2	18
9	Betis	16	4	6	6	-7	-12.8	18
10	Valencia	16	5	3	8	-8	-9.2	18
11	Sevilla	16	4	5	7	-3	-6.6	17
12	Vallecano	16	4	5	7	-5	-1.8	17
13	Las Palmas	16	4	3	9	-11	-16.2	15
14	Celta	16	3	5	8	-6	-12.3	14
15	Getafe	16	1	8	7	-10	-7.4	11
16	Alaves	16	2	5	9	-10	-5.7	11
17	Mallorca	16	1	6	9	-13	-6.1	9
18	Almeria	16	1	3	12	-18	-12.4	6
19	Cadiz	16	0	6	10	-19	-18.7	6
20	Granada	16	0	3	13	-22	-15.1	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.