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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Mallorca

S T S U U

0–1

Full-time

Real Madrid

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,2

4,0

Scored

0,7

2,7

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 49%

20%

77%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

27%

53%

Both score Ø 47%

43%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,9

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,59 xG 1,60

44% Possession 56%

6 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mallorca 15. · Real Madrid 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	+46	+30.1	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	+27	+35.2	67
3	Girona	31	20	5	6	+24	+12.7	65
4	Ath Madrid	31	19	4	8	+23	+19.1	61
5	Ath Bilbao	30	16	8	6	+22	+14.4	56
6	Sociedad	30	13	10	7	+12	+6.4	49
7	Betis	31	11	12	8	+1	-6.4	45
8	Valencia	30	12	8	10	+1	-3.7	44
9	Getafe	31	9	12	10	-6	-7.1	39
10	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	-7	-8.0	39
11	Villarreal	30	10	8	12	-5	-3.1	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	-4	-17.4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	-10	+0.5	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	-7	-11.4	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	-10	-5.4	31
16	Vallecano	31	6	13	12	-13	-4.0	31
17	Celta	31	6	10	15	-13	-7.5	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	-19	-14.4	25
19	Granada	30	2	8	20	-30	-17.2	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	-32	-12.9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	16	14	1	1	+20	+17.6	43
2	Real Madrid	15	13	2	0	+30	+22.1	41
3	Girona	15	12	2	1	+22	+11.4	38
4	Barcelona	16	12	1	3	+15	+19.5	37
5	Ath Bilbao	15	11	3	1	+22	+15.7	36
6	Betis	16	8	6	2	+9	+6.6	30
7	Valencia	15	8	5	2	+10	+3.8	29
8	Getafe	15	8	4	3	+4	+0.3	28
9	Sociedad	14	6	5	3	+6	+3.8	23
10	Las Palmas	15	6	4	5	+4	-4.2	22
11	Mallorca	15	5	7	3	+2	+0.3	22
12	Alaves	15	6	3	6	-2	+5.0	21
13	Osasuna	15	6	3	6	-4	-0.8	21
14	Villarreal	16	5	4	7	+0	+5.2	19
15	Cadiz	15	4	7	4	-3	+4.1	19
16	Sevilla	15	4	5	6	-2	-2.7	17
17	Celta	15	3	5	7	-7	+4.8	14
18	Vallecano	15	2	8	5	-8	-2.3	14
19	Granada	15	2	6	7	-8	-3.4	12
20	Almeria	15	0	8	7	-14	-0.7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	10	4	1	+16	+8.1	34
2	Barcelona	14	8	6	0	+12	+15.7	30
3	Girona	16	8	3	5	+2	+1.3	27
4	Sociedad	16	7	5	4	+6	+2.6	26
5	Ath Bilbao	15	5	5	5	+0	-1.3	20
6	Villarreal	14	5	4	5	-5	-8.3	19
7	Ath Madrid	15	5	3	7	+3	+1.5	18
8	Osasuna	15	5	3	7	-3	-7.2	18
9	Vallecano	16	4	5	7	-5	-1.8	17
10	Betis	15	3	6	6	-8	-13.0	15
11	Las Palmas	15	4	3	8	-8	-13.2	15
12	Valencia	15	4	3	8	-9	-7.5	15
13	Sevilla	15	3	5	7	-5	-8.7	14
14	Celta	16	3	5	8	-6	-12.3	14
15	Alaves	15	2	5	8	-8	-4.5	11
16	Getafe	16	1	8	7	-10	-7.4	11
17	Mallorca	15	1	6	8	-12	-5.8	9
18	Cadiz	15	0	6	9	-16	-18.5	6
19	Almeria	15	1	2	12	-18	-12.2	5
20	Granada	15	0	2	13	-22	-13.7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.