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Copa del Rey

Referee: Javier Alberola

Ciudad de Lucena

1–2

Full-time

Leganes

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 5

14 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	UD San Pedro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
17	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
35	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
36	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	UD San Pedro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
7	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ciudad de Lucena Leganes

27′

🟨 Jackson Porozo

Iván Vela 🟨

41′

42′

⚽ M. El Haddadi 0–1

Half-time 1–1

1–1 David Agudo ⚽

Sergio Rivera

46′

52′

⚽ Juan Cruz 1–2

Óscar Rodríguez

Hugo Fuentes 🔁

↦ Sergio Rivera

63′

🔁 Enric Franquesa

↦ J. Porozo

63′

🔁 Sergio González

↦ V. Rosier

Joselillo 🔁

↦ Rubén Navas

64′

Javi Hervás 🔁

↦ Nacho Fernández

64′

🔁 Adrià Alti

↦ Iker Bachiller

64′

🔁 Miguel de la Fuente

↦ Juan Cruz

Pedro Morillo 🟨

71′

José Cruz 🔁

↦ Rafa Manosalva

73′

Álvaro Cascajo 🔁

↦ Manu Molina

77′

Javi Hervás 🟨

93′

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ciudad de Lucena

4-2-3-1

1 Iván Morales G

2 Miguel Cancelo D

4 Rafa Manosalva D

15 Iván Vela D

3 Pedro Morillo D

23 Adrián Moyano M

10 Nacho Fernández M

7 Manu Molina M

14 Sergio Rivera M

20 Rubén Navas M

9 David Agudo F

Bench (11)

19 Hugo Fuentes

11 Joselillo

6 Javi Hervás

17 José Cruz

21 Álvaro Cascajo

12 Ángel Granados

5 Carlos Mora

13 Benito del Valle

16 Álex Bonilla

22 Rafael Castilla

8 Alberto García

Coach: Antonio Cobos

Leganes

4-4-2

Juan Soriano G

12 V. Rosier D

4 J. Porozo D

20 Javi Hernández D

28 Iker Bachiller D

Juan Cruz M

J. Chicco M

14 D. Brašanac M

7 Óscar Rodríguez M

Roberto López F

M. El Haddadi F

Bench (10)

15 Enric Franquesa

6 Sergio González

2 Adrià Alti

9 Miguel de la Fuente

26 Piri

33 Fer Rodríguez

32 Hugo Solozábal

35 J. Urbáez

36 Alvin

29 Suleiman

Coach: Borja Jiménez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

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B ✓

–

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Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,4 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

25,7 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Ciudad de Lucena

Leganes

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee