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Serie A

Referee: A Giua

Torino

S T S S S

1–2

Full-time

Lecce

T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

2,2

0,0

Conceded

1,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-2,5

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

2,5

0,0

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Torino 5. · Lecce 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Bologna	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Torino	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Milan	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Roma	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Genoa	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Verona	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Parma	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Brescia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Spal	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
18	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Roma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Brescia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Parma	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.