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Serie A
Referee: M Mariani
Torino
S U S T S
2–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
7 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 6
9 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. May -19 Torino – Sassuolo 3–2 22. Dec -18 Sassuolo – Torino 1–1 21. Jan -18 Sassuolo – Torino 1–1 27. Aug -17 Torino – Sassuolo 3–0 28. May -17 Torino – Sassuolo 5–3

Match report

Torino Sassuolo
11′
🟨 Marlon
1–0 Simone Zaza ⚽
Cristian Ansaldi
14′
Cristian Ansaldi 🟨
24′
Gleison Bremer 🟨
34′
45′
🟨 Mehdi Bourabia
Half-time 1–0
Ola Aina 🔁
↦ Cristian Ansaldi
46′
46′
🔁 Federico Peluso
↦ Rogério
2–0 Simone Zaza ⚽
Andrea Belotti
55′
Koffi Djidji 🔁
↦ Kevin Bonifazi
68′
68′
🔁 Mert Müldür
↦ Jeremy Toljan
69′
⚽ Francesco Caputo 2–1
Salvatore Sirigu 🟨
77′
78′
🟨 Pedro Obiang
Soualiho Meite 🔁
↦ Daniele Baselli
80′
81′
🔁 Giacomo Raspadori
↦ Manuel Locatelli
Simone Zaza 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Torino

3-5-2
39 Salvatore Sirigu G
5 Armando Izzo D
36 Gleison Bremer D
14 Kevin Bonifazi D
29 Lorenzo De Silvestri M
8 Daniele Baselli M
88 Tomas Rincon M
7 Saša Lukić M
15 Cristian Ansaldi M
11 Simone Zaza F
9 Andrea Belotti F
Bench (10)
25 Antonio Rosati
89 Luca Gemello
34 Ola Aina
30 Koffi Djidji
17 Wilfried Stephane Singo
27 Vittorio Parigini
23 Soualiho Meite
22 Vincenzo Millico
90 Nicola Rauti
21 Alex Berenguer

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Sassuolo

4-3-1-2
47 Andrea Consigli G
22 Jeremy Toljan D
2 Marlon D
31 Gianmarco Ferrari D
6 Rogério D
68 Mehdi Bourabia M
14 Pedro Obiang M
73 Manuel Locatelli M
23 Hamed Junior Traorè M
7 Jérémie Boga F
9 Francesco Caputo F
Bench (12)
64 Alessandro Russo
56 Gianluca Pegolo
17 Mert Müldür
5 Andrew Gravillon
3 Edoardo Goldaniga
33 Alessandro Tripaldelli
13 Federico Peluso
36 Luca Mazzitelli
8 Alfred Duncan
10 Filip Đuričić
18 Giacomo Raspadori
99 Enrico Brignola

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
🔒
U
3,46
🔒
B
4,32
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,99
🔒
U2,5
1,82
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.