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Eliteserien

Referee: Tom Harald Hagen

Sarpsborg 08

U T U T U

1–0

Full-time

Valerenga

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 23%

10%

35%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 68%

75%

60%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

8 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 16. · Valerenga 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	21	14	4	3	+29	46
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	13	4	4	+16	43
3	Odd	21	11	5	5	+6	38
4	Rosenborg	21	10	6	5	+8	36
5	Brann	21	9	5	7	+5	32
6	Kristiansund	21	9	5	7	+5	32
7	Viking	21	8	6	7	+1	30
8	Valerenga	20	7	6	7	+4	27
9	Haugesund	21	6	8	7	+4	26
10	Lillestrom	21	7	4	10	-8	25
11	Stabaek	21	6	6	9	-5	24
12	Tromso	21	6	4	11	-18	22
13	Mjondalen	21	4	9	8	-10	21
14	Ranheim	21	5	4	12	-14	19
15	Stromsgodset	21	5	4	12	-16	19
16	Sarpsborg 08	20	2	10	8	-7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	11	9	2	0	+12	29
2	Bodo/Glimt	11	8	2	1	+20	26
3	Molde	10	8	2	0	+20	26
4	Rosenborg	11	8	2	1	+14	26
5	Viking	11	6	3	2	+10	21
6	Kristiansund	10	6	2	2	+10	20
7	Valerenga	10	5	3	2	+10	18
8	Stabaek	11	4	5	2	+5	17
9	Lillestrom	10	5	1	4	-1	16
10	Stromsgodset	11	5	1	5	-4	16
11	Brann	10	4	3	3	+1	15
12	Mjondalen	10	3	4	3	-2	13
13	Sarpsborg 08	10	2	6	2	+0	12
14	Tromso	10	3	3	4	-1	12
15	Haugesund	11	2	5	4	+0	11
16	Ranheim	10	2	1	7	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	11	6	2	3	+9	20
2	Brann	11	5	2	4	+4	17
3	Bodo/Glimt	10	5	2	3	-4	17
4	Haugesund	10	4	3	3	+4	15
5	Kristiansund	11	3	3	5	-5	12
6	Ranheim	11	3	3	5	-5	12
7	Rosenborg	10	2	4	4	-6	10
8	Tromso	11	3	1	7	-17	10
9	Valerenga	10	2	3	5	-6	9
10	Odd	10	2	3	5	-6	9
11	Lillestrom	11	2	3	6	-7	9
12	Viking	10	2	3	5	-9	9
13	Mjondalen	11	1	5	5	-8	8
14	Stabaek	10	2	1	7	-10	7
15	Sarpsborg 08	10	0	4	6	-7	4
16	Stromsgodset	10	0	3	7	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.