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Serie A
Referee: D Doveri
Atalanta
S S U S S
2–3
Full-time
Torino
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 8
12 Shots on target 6
9 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atalanta 5. · Torino 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Lazio 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 Bologna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Inter 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Torino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Napoli 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Milan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Brescia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Roma 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Genoa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Verona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Sassuolo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Parma 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Spal 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Lecce 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atalanta Torino
21′
🟨 Alex Berenguer
24′
Kevin Bonifazi 0–1
Daniele Baselli
1–1 Duván Zapata
Mario Pašalić
38′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Duván Zapata
Alejandro Gómez
54′
57′
Alex Berenguer 2–2
Soualiho Meïté
Luis Muriel 🔁
↦ Mario Pašalić
63′
Hans Hateboer 🟨
65′
66′
Armando Izzo 2–3
Daniele Baselli
Ruslan Malinovskyi 🔁
↦ Alejandro Gómez
67′
Marten de Roon 🟨
76′
78′
🔁 Saša Lukić
↦ Daniele Baselli
Guilherme Arana 🔁
↦ Robin Gosens
79′
83′
🔁 Diego Laxalt
↦ Alex Berenguer
90′
🟨 Diego Laxalt
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
95 Pierluigi Gollini G
2 Rafael Tolói D
19 Berat Djimsiti D
5 Andrea Masiello D
33 Hans Hateboer M
15 Marten de Roon M
88 Mario Pašalić M
8 Robin Gosens M
10 Alejandro Gómez F
72 Josip Iličić F
91 Duván Zapata F
Bench (9)
57 Marco Sportiello
31 Francesco Rossi
41 Ibañez
6 José Luis Palomino
13 Guilherme Arana
11 Remo Freuler
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi
99 Musa Barrow
9 Luis Muriel

Coach: G. Gasperini

Torino

3-4-2-1
39 Salvatore Sirigu G
5 Armando Izzo D
30 Koffi Djidji D
14 Kevin Bonifazi D
29 Lorenzo De Silvestri M
8 Daniele Baselli M
88 Tomás Rincón M
34 Ola Aina M
23 Soualiho Meïté F
21 Alex Berenguer F
9 Andrea Belotti F
Bench (8)
89 Luca Gemello
25 Antonio Rosati
36 Gleison Bremer
17 Wilfried Stephane Singo
7 Saša Lukić
93 Diego Laxalt
90 Nicola Rauti
22 Vincenzo Millico

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,61
U
4,08
B ✓
5,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.