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Serie A
Referee: D Chiffi
Spal
S T T U T
0–3
Full-time
Udinese
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 22%
17%
27%
Points per game
0,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
53%
40%
Both score Ø 47%
53%
40%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spal 20. · Udinese 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 31 24 3 4 +35 75
2 Lazio 31 21 5 5 +34 68
3 Atalanta 31 20 6 5 +46 66
4 Inter 30 19 7 4 +32 64
5 Roma 31 15 6 10 +13 51
6 Napoli 31 15 6 10 +9 51
7 Milan 31 14 7 10 +4 49
8 Sassuolo 31 12 7 12 +4 43
9 Verona 30 11 9 10 +1 42
10 Bologna 31 11 8 12 -5 41
11 Cagliari 31 10 10 11 +2 40
12 Parma 31 11 6 14 +0 39
13 Fiorentina 31 8 11 12 -6 35
14 Torino 31 10 4 17 -20 34
15 Udinese 30 8 8 14 -16 32
16 Sampdoria 31 9 5 17 -17 32
17 Lecce 31 7 7 17 -31 28
18 Genoa 31 6 9 16 -22 27
19 Brescia 31 5 6 20 -33 21
20 Spal 30 5 4 21 -30 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spal Udinese
18′
R. De Paul 0–1
35′
S. Okaka 0–2
Half-time 0–2
S. Missiroli 🔁
↦ B. Dabo
46′
A. Murgia 🔁
↦ G. Strefezza
63′
M. D'Alessandro 🔁
↦ A. Reca
72′
L. Castro 🔁
↦ S. Floccari
72′
76′
🔁 S. De Maio
↦ Samir
77′
🔁 M. Zeegelaar
↦ H. ter Avest
81′
K. Lasagna 0–3
S. Fofana
82′
🔁 K. Lasagna
↦ I. Nestorovski
82′
🔁 S. Okaka
↦ L. Teodorczyk
A. Petagna 🔁
↦ A. Cerri
84′
91′
🔁 S. Fofana
↦ M. Ballarini
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Spal

4-1-4-1
25 Karlo Letica G
26 Jacopo Sala D
23 Francesco Vicari D
41 Kevin Bonifazi D
27 Felipe D
6 Mirko Valdifiori M
77 Marco D'Alessandro M
7 Simone Missiroli M
19 Lucas Castro M
11 Alessandro Murgia M
37 Andrea Petagna F
Bench (12)
22 Demba Thiam
65 Marco Meneghetti
40 Nenad Tomović
66 Bartosz Salamon
13 Arkadiusz Reca
21 Gabriel Strefezza
14 Bryan Dabo
96 Georgi Tunjov
94 Jaume Cuellar Mendoza
31 Federico Di Francesco
10 Sergio Floccari
32 Alberto Cerri

Coach: L. Di Biagio

Udinese

3-5-2
1 Juan Musso G
50 Rodrigo Becão D
87 Sebastien De Maio D
17 Bram Nuytinck D
19 Jens Stryger Larsen M
10 Rodrigo De Paul M
6 Seko Fofana M
11 Walace M
77 Marvin Zeegelaar M
15 Kevin Lasagna F
7 Stefano Okaka F
Bench (11)
88 Nicolas
27 Samuele Perisan
5 William Troost-Ekong
63 Francesco Mazzolo
3 Samir
18 Hidde ter Avest
61 Marco Ballarini
65 Enrico Oviszach
64 Martin Palumbo
30 Ilija Nestorovski
91 Łukasz Teodorczyk

Coach: L. Gotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,31
U
3,37
B ✓
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,06
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Chiffi · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.