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Serie A
Referee: Antonio Di Martino
Bologna
U T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Torino
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 31%
32%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
65%
62%
Both score Ø 67%
76%
57%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 4
8 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 12. · Torino 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 38 26 5 7 +33 83
2 Inter 38 24 10 4 +45 82
3 Atalanta 38 23 9 6 +50 78
4 Lazio 38 24 6 8 +37 78
5 Roma 38 21 7 10 +26 70
6 Milan 38 19 9 10 +17 66
7 Napoli 38 18 8 12 +11 62
8 Sassuolo 37 14 9 14 +7 51
9 Fiorentina 38 12 13 13 +3 49
10 Verona 37 12 13 12 -1 49
11 Parma 37 13 7 17 -2 46
12 Bologna 37 12 10 15 -13 46
13 Cagliari 38 11 12 15 -4 45
14 Udinese 37 11 9 17 -15 42
15 Sampdoria 38 12 6 20 -17 42
16 Torino 37 11 6 20 -22 39
17 Genoa 37 9 9 19 -29 36
18 Lecce 37 9 8 20 -32 35
19 Brescia 38 6 7 25 -44 25
20 Spal 38 5 5 28 -50 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Torino
Mihajlovic S. 🟨
13′
1–0 M. Svanberg
R. Soriano
18′
Half-time 1–0
R. Palacio 🔁
↦ F. Santander
46′
M. Barrow 🔁
↦ N. Sansone
46′
47′
🟨 C. Ansaldi
50′
🔁 C. Ansaldi
↦ O. Aina
56′
🟨 T. Rincon
60′
🟨 A. Berenguer
66′
S. Zaza 1–1
S. Verdi
J. Schouten 🔁
↦ N. Dominguez
72′
M. Svanberg 🔁
↦ A. F. Baldursson
72′
F. Santander 🟨
76′
76′
🔁 A. Izzo
↦ N. N'Koulou
M. Juwara 🔁
↦ A. Skov Olsen
77′
R. Soriano 🟨
80′
G. Medel 🟨
85′
92′
🔁 K. Djidji
↦ C. Celesia
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bologna

4-2-3-1
28 Łukasz Skorupski G
15 Ibrahima Mbaye D
23 Danilo D
5 Gary Medel D
4 Stefano Denswil D
30 Jerdy Schouten M
32 Mattias Svanberg M
26 Musa Juwara M
21 Roberto Soriano M
99 Musa Barrow M
24 Rodrigo Palacio F
Bench (12)
1 Angelo Da Costa
97 Mouhamadou Fallou Mbacke Sarr
6 Federico Bonini
25 Gabriele Corbo
10 Nicola Sansone
34 Andri Fannar Baldursson
8 Nicolás Domínguez
7 Riccardo Orsolini
16 Andrea Poli
17 Andreas Skov Olsen
9 Federico Santander
29 Gianmarco Cangiano

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Torino

3-4-1-2
25 Antonio Rosati G
5 Armando Izzo D
30 Koffi Djidji D
36 Gleison Bremer D
21 Alex Berenguer M
7 Saša Lukić M
88 Tomás Rincón M
15 Cristian Ansaldi M
24 Simone Verdi F
11 Simone Zaza F
9 Andrea Belotti F
Bench (12)
39 Salvatore Sirigu
18 Samir Ujkani
77 Christian Celesia
56 Patrick Enrici
33 Nicolas N'Koulou
27 Emin Ghazoini
34 Ola Aina
44 Mattia Sandri
19 Jean Freddi Greco
45 Mihael Onișa
20 Simone Edera
80 Michel Ndary Adopo

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U ✓
4,02
B
2,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,37
U2,5 ✓
3,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.