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Serie A
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Torino
S U S S S
2–3
Full-time
Bologna
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
41%
15%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
41%
44%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
44%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

54% Possession 46%
20 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Torino 7. · Bologna 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 27 24 3 0 +42 75
2 Napoli 27 17 6 4 +27 57
3 Milan 27 14 9 4 +18 51
4 Inter 27 15 5 7 +18 50
5 Roma 28 13 8 7 +13 47
6 Atalanta 27 13 5 9 +18 44
7 Torino 27 11 11 5 +12 44
8 Sampdoria 28 12 6 10 +11 42
9 Lazio 26 12 6 8 +9 42
10 Fiorentina 28 8 13 7 +8 37
11 Parma 27 9 6 12 -11 33
12 Sassuolo 28 7 11 10 -8 32
13 Genoa 27 7 9 11 -10 30
14 Cagliari 28 7 9 12 -15 30
15 Spal 28 6 8 14 -17 26
16 Udinese 26 6 7 13 -14 25
17 Empoli 27 5 7 15 -19 22
18 Bologna 27 4 9 14 -18 21
19 Frosinone 27 3 8 16 -31 17
20 Chievo 27 1 10 16 -33 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Bologna
0–1 E. Pulgar
own goal
6′
Daniele Baselli 🟨
11′
22′
🔁 A. Poli
↦ B. Džemaili
29′
A. Poli 0–2
34′
E. Pulgar 0–3
41′
🟨 Roberto Soriano
Half-time 0–3
50′
🟨 Nicola Sansone
Iago Falqué 🔁
↦ D. Baselli
56′
59′
🟨 Lyanco
64′
R. Orsolini 0–4
R. Palacio
Álex Berenguer 🔁
↦ K. Djidji
72′
Nicolas N'Koulou 🟨
75′
S. Lukić 🔁
↦ S. Meïté
77′
82′
🔁 M. Svanberg
↦ N. Sansone
86′
🔁 F. Mattiello
↦ R. Orsolini
88′
🟨 Lyanco
88′
🟥 Lyanco
1–4 A. Izzo
Álex Berenguer
89′
Álex Berenguer 🟨
90′
Ola Aina 🟨
90′
Ola Aina 🟥
90′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Torino

3-5-2
39 S. Sirigu G
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
30 K. Djidji D
5 A. Izzo D
34 O. Aina M
88 T. Rincón M
23 S. Meïté M
8 D. Baselli M
11 S. Zaza F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (9)
14 Iago Falqué
21 Álex Berenguer
7 S. Lukić
24 E. Moretti
29 L. De Silvestri
27 V. Parigini
1 S. Ichazo
36 Bremer
25 A. Rosati

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Bologna

4-2-3-1
28 Ł. Skorupski G
23 Danilo D
35 M. Dijks M
15 I. M'baye D
4 Lyanco D
31 B. Džemaili M
21 R. Soriano M
5 E. Pulgar M
24 R. Palacio F
10 N. Sansone F
7 R. Orsolini F
Bench (12)
16 A. Poli
32 M. Svanberg
14 F. Mattiello
22 M. Destro
11 L. Krejčí
3 G. González
33 A. Calabresi
20 S. Edera
91 D. Falcinelli
6 N. Paz
17 G. Donsah
1 Angelo da Costa

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Maurizio Mariani · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.