Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sassuolo
Udinese
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
38 | 26 | 5 | 7 | +33 | 83 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | +45 | 82 |
| 3 |
Atalanta
|
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +50 | 78 |
| 4 |
Lazio
|
38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | +37 | 78 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | +26 | 70 |
| 6 |
Milan
|
38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +17 | 66 |
| 7 |
Napoli
|
38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | +11 | 62 |
| 8 |
Sassuolo
|
37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | +7 | 51 |
| 9 |
Fiorentina
|
38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | +3 | 49 |
| 10 |
Verona
|
37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | -1 | 49 |
| 11 |
Parma
|
37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 46 |
| 12 |
Bologna
|
37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | -13 | 46 |
| 13 |
Cagliari
|
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | -15 | 42 |
| 15 |
Sampdoria
|
38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | -17 | 42 |
| 16 |
Torino
|
37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | -22 | 39 |
| 17 |
Genoa
|
37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | -29 | 36 |
| 18 |
Lecce
|
37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | -32 | 35 |
| 19 |
Brescia
|
38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | -44 | 25 |
| 20 |
Spal
|
38 | 5 | 5 | 28 | -50 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Jeremy Toljan
D
Manuel Locatelli
M
Domenico Berardi
M
Hamed Junior Traorè
M
Coach: R. De Zerbi
Juan Musso
G
Jens Stryger Larsen
M
Coach: L. Gotti
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sassuolo
Genoa
Napoli
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Milan
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Juventus
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.