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Serie A
Referee: Luca J Pairetto
Udinese
S U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Serie A · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
41%
53%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
56%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 16. · Sassuolo 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 32 27 3 2 +43 84
2 Napoli 32 20 7 5 +33 67
3 Inter 32 18 6 8 +24 60
4 Milan 33 15 11 7 +16 56
5 Roma 32 15 9 8 +12 54
6 Atalanta 32 15 8 9 +23 53
7 Lazio 32 15 7 10 +13 52
8 Torino 32 12 14 6 +12 50
9 Sampdoria 32 14 6 12 +12 48
10 Fiorentina 32 8 16 8 +7 40
11 Sassuolo 32 8 13 11 -5 37
12 Cagliari 32 9 10 13 -13 37
13 Parma 33 9 9 15 -17 36
14 Spal 32 9 8 15 -15 35
15 Genoa 32 8 10 14 -16 34
16 Udinese 32 8 8 16 -16 32
17 Bologna 32 7 10 15 -16 31
18 Empoli 32 7 8 17 -19 29
19 Frosinone 32 5 8 19 -33 23
20 Chievo 32 1 11 20 -45 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Sassuolo
Rolando Mandragora 🟨
14′
Sandro 🔁
↦ S. Fofana
17′
25′
🟨 Merih Demiral
Sandro 🟨
28′
31′
S. Sensi 0–1
D. Berardi
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 F. Peluso
↦ G. Magnani
K. Lasagna 🔁
↦ S. De Maio
57′
65′
🔁 M. Locatelli
↦ S. Sensi
Jens Stryger Larsen 🟨
70′
Ł. Teodorczyk 🔁
↦ W. Troost-Ekong
76′
79′
🟨 Manuel Locatelli
0–2 Pol Lirola
own goal
80′
85′
🔁 A. Duncan
↦ J. Boga
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 J. Musso G
87 S. De Maio D
19 J. Larsen D
5 W. Troost-Ekong D
3 Samir D
77 M. D'Alessandro M
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
23 I. Pussetto F
38 R. Mandragora M
7 S. Okaka F
Bench (12)
30 Sandro
15 K. Lasagna
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
24 B. Wilmot
17 B. Nuytinck
13 S. Ingelsson
90 M. Zeegelaar
8 E. Agyemang-Badu
88 Nicolas
14 P. Mićin
27 S. Perisan
20 E. Hallfreðsson

Coach: I. Tudor

Sassuolo

3-4-1-2
47 A. Consigli G
31 G. Ferrari D
23 G. Magnani D
3 M. Demiral D
21 Pol Lirola D
6 Rogério M
4 F. Magnanelli M
68 M. Bourabia M
20 J. Boga M
12 S. Sensi M
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (12)
13 F. Peluso
73 M. Locatelli
32 A. Duncan
99 E. Brignola
30 K. Babacar
10 A. Matri
34 F. Di Francesco
5 M. Lemos
9 F. Đuričić
79 G. Pegolo
19 J. Odgaard
17 L. Sernicola

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luca J Pairetto · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.