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Serie A
Referee: V Marini
Benevento
T U T S U
0–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 29%
24%
34%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
48%
62%
Both score Ø 66%
55%
76%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

30% Possession 70%
9 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benevento 16. · Sassuolo 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 30 23 5 2 +42 74
2 Milan 30 19 6 5 +22 63
3 Juventus 30 18 8 4 +34 62
4 Atalanta 30 18 7 5 +33 61
5 Napoli 30 19 2 9 +31 59
6 Lazio 29 17 4 8 +8 55
7 Roma 30 16 6 8 +10 54
8 Verona 30 11 8 11 +3 41
9 Sassuolo 29 10 10 9 +0 40
10 Sampdoria 30 10 6 14 -6 36
11 Bologna 30 9 7 14 -7 34
12 Udinese 30 8 9 13 -8 33
13 Genoa 30 7 11 12 -12 32
14 Spezia 30 8 8 14 -15 32
15 Fiorentina 30 7 9 14 -11 30
16 Benevento 29 7 9 13 -24 30
17 Torino 29 5 12 12 -10 27
18 Cagliari 30 5 7 18 -20 22
19 Parma 30 3 11 16 -30 20
20 Crotone 30 4 3 23 -40 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benevento Sassuolo
11′
🟨 Gian Marco Ferrari
45′
F. Barba 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
Alessandro Tuia 🟨
55′
G. Letizia 🔁
↦ P. Hetemaj
56′
G. Lapadula 🔁
↦ M. Sau
56′
Pasquale Schiattarella 🟨
58′
64′
🟨 Francesco Magnanelli
N. Viola 🔁
↦ P. Schiattarella
64′
G. Caprari 🔁
↦ A. Tuia
64′
69′
🔁 L. Haraslín
↦ M. Lopez
69′
🔁 Pedro Obiang
↦ F. Magnanelli
Iago Falqué 🔁
↦ A. Gaich
76′
77′
🔁 J. Toljan
↦ M. Müldür
77′
🔁 Rogério
↦ G. Kiriakopoulos
82′
🔁 V. Chiricheș
↦ F. Đuričić
Gaetano Letizia 🟨
84′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Benevento

3-5-2
1 L. Montipò G
13 A. Tuia D
15 K. Glik D
93 F. Barba D
27 F. Depaoli M
56 P. Hetemaj M
29 A. Ioniţă M
28 P. Schiattarella M
25 M. Sau F
16 R. Improta M
7 A. Gaich F
Bench (12)
3 G. Letizia
9 G. Lapadula
10 N. Viola
17 G. Caprari
44 Iago Falqué
8 A. Tello
14 B. Dabo
5 L. Caldirola
19 R. Insigne
20 G. Di Serio
22 I. Lucatelli
12 N. Manfredini

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
47 A. Consigli G
31 G. Ferrari D
2 Marlon D
77 G. Kiriakopoulos D
17 M. Müldür D
4 F. Magnanelli M
10 F. Đuričić M
8 M. Lopez M
73 M. Locatelli M
7 J. Boga M
18 G. Raspadori F
Bench (11)
27 L. Haraslín
14 Pedro Obiang
22 J. Toljan
6 Rogério
21 V. Chiricheș
13 F. Peluso
68 M. Bourabia
56 G. Pegolo
26 I. Karamoko
30 B. Oddei
63 S. Turati

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,44
U
3,58
B ✓
2,09
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.