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Bundesliga
Referee: M Jöllenbeck
Hoffenheim
U S T T T
0–0
Full-time
Leverkusen
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 37%
30%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
74%
59%
Both score Ø 67%
70%
63%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
2 Shots 7
0 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 12. · Leverkusen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 28 20 5 3 +44 65
2 RB Leipzig 28 18 6 4 +29 60
3 Wolfsburg 28 15 9 4 +23 54
4 Ein Frankfurt 28 14 11 3 +19 53
5 Dortmund 28 14 4 10 +17 46
6 Leverkusen 27 12 7 8 +13 43
7 Union Berlin 28 9 13 6 +8 40
8 M'gladbach 28 10 10 8 +5 40
9 Stuttgart 28 10 9 9 +6 39
10 Freiburg 28 10 7 11 -2 37
11 Augsburg 28 9 5 14 -13 32
12 Hoffenheim 27 8 6 13 -6 30
13 Werder Bremen 28 7 9 12 -11 30
14 Mainz 28 7 7 14 -18 28
15 Hertha 28 6 8 14 -14 26
16 Bielefeld 28 7 5 16 -24 26
17 FC Koln 28 5 8 15 -23 23
18 Schalke 04 28 2 7 19 -53 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Leverkusen
A. Kramarić 🔁
↦ S. Rudy
38′
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 P. Schick
↦ L. Alario
58′
🔁 N. Amiri
↦ F. Wirtz
71′
🔁 J. Frimpong
↦ K. Demirbay
G. Rutter 🔁
↦ R. Skov
78′
81′
🟨 Wendell
86′
🔁 L. Bailey
↦ M. Diaby
H. Nordtveit 🔁
↦ K. Akpoguma
88′
Christoph Baumgartner 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-1-4-2
1 O. Baumann G
3 P. Kadeřábek M
25 K. Akpoguma D
38 S. Posch D
28 C. Richards D
16 S. Rudy M
11 F. Grillitsch M
14 C. Baumgartner M
17 R. Sessegnon M
9 I. Bebou F
29 R. Skov F
Bench (9)
27 A. Kramarić
33 G. Rutter
6 H. Nordtveit
32 M. Bogarde
18 D. Samassekou
30 M. John
12 P. Pentke
10 M. Dabour
19 I. Belfodil

Coach: S. Hoeneb

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
5 S. Bender D
18 Wendell M
16 T. Jedvaj D
12 E. Tapsoba D
20 C. Aránguiz M
10 K. Demirbay F
25 E. Palacios M
27 F. Wirtz F
13 L. Alario F
19 M. Diaby M
Bench (9)
14 P. Schick
11 N. Amiri
30 J. Frimpong
9 L. Bailey
38 K. Bellarabi
22 D. Sinkgraven
4 J. Tah
21 L. Grill
6 A. Dragović

Coach: H. Wolf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,87
U ✓
3,57
B
2,38
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Jöllenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.