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LaLiga2

Alcorcon

U T U U T

2–1

Full-time

Castellon

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 27%

24%

30%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

27%

42%

Both score Ø 36%

27%

45%

Average goals

1,6

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

16 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 3

1 Corners 2

9 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alcorcon 21. · Castellon 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	34	21	7	6	+36	70
2	Mallorca	34	20	8	6	+23	68
3	Almeria	34	18	6	10	+18	60
4	Leganes	34	17	6	11	+9	57
5	Sp Gijon	34	15	11	8	+11	56
6	Vallecano	33	16	7	10	+10	55
7	Girona	34	13	10	11	+0	49
8	Ponferradina	34	13	10	11	-1	49
9	Malaga	34	13	9	12	-6	48
10	Las Palmas	34	11	12	11	-4	45
11	Tenerife	33	12	8	13	+1	44
12	Mirandes	32	12	8	12	+0	44
13	Fuenlabrada	34	9	16	9	-1	43
14	Oviedo	34	8	16	10	+0	40
15	Zaragoza	34	10	9	15	-5	39
16	Logrones	34	10	9	15	-17	39
17	Castellon	33	10	6	17	-8	36
18	Lugo	34	8	12	14	-13	36
19	Cartagena	34	8	11	15	-11	35
20	Sabadell	34	7	12	15	-10	33
21	Alcorcon	33	8	9	16	-10	33
22	Albacete	34	7	8	19	-22	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	17	13	2	2	+24	41
2	Leganes	17	13	1	3	+12	40
3	Mallorca	18	11	3	4	+17	36
4	Sp Gijon	17	9	7	1	+11	34
5	Almeria	17	9	5	3	+15	32
6	Tenerife	17	9	5	3	+12	32
7	Vallecano	16	10	2	4	+10	32
8	Las Palmas	17	9	4	4	+10	31
9	Ponferradina	17	8	6	3	+5	30
10	Zaragoza	17	8	5	4	+5	29
11	Girona	17	8	4	5	+4	28
12	Lugo	17	6	7	4	+4	25
13	Castellon	17	8	0	9	+4	24
14	Cartagena	17	6	5	6	+2	23
15	Oviedo	17	5	7	5	+3	22
16	Mirandes	16	5	7	4	+2	22
17	Malaga	17	5	6	6	-3	21
18	Logrones	16	6	3	7	-5	21
19	Alcorcon	16	6	2	8	-3	20
20	Fuenlabrada	17	3	10	4	+1	19
21	Albacete	17	4	5	8	-6	17
22	Sabadell	17	2	9	6	-4	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	16	9	5	2	+6	32
2	Espanol	17	8	5	4	+12	29
3	Almeria	17	9	1	7	+3	28
4	Malaga	17	8	3	6	-3	27
5	Fuenlabrada	17	6	6	5	-2	24
6	Vallecano	17	6	5	6	+0	23
7	Sp Gijon	17	6	4	7	+0	22
8	Mirandes	16	7	1	8	-2	22
9	Girona	17	5	6	6	-4	21
10	Ponferradina	17	5	4	8	-6	19
11	Oviedo	17	3	9	5	-3	18
12	Sabadell	17	5	3	9	-6	18
13	Logrones	18	4	6	8	-12	18
14	Leganes	17	4	5	8	-3	17
15	Las Palmas	17	2	8	7	-14	14
16	Alcorcon	17	2	7	8	-7	13
17	Tenerife	16	3	3	10	-11	12
18	Castellon	16	2	6	8	-12	12
19	Cartagena	17	2	6	9	-13	12
20	Albacete	17	3	3	11	-16	12
21	Lugo	17	2	5	10	-17	11
22	Zaragoza	17	2	4	11	-10	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.