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Ligue 2

Guingamp

U T S U T

1–1

Full-time

Toulouse

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 36%

16%

55%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

42%

55%

Both score Ø 49%

52%

45%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,9

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

11 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 2

3 Corners 10

19 Free kicks against 22

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 18. · Toulouse 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	32	18	8	6	+16	62
2	Toulouse	31	17	7	7	+26	58
3	Grenoble	32	16	9	7	+16	57
4	Clermont	31	16	8	7	+29	56
5	Paris FC	32	15	10	7	+12	55
6	Auxerre	32	13	12	7	+21	51
7	Sochaux	32	11	14	7	+13	47
8	Valenciennes	32	11	10	11	-5	43
9	Nancy	32	10	11	11	+1	41
10	Amiens	30	10	10	10	+0	40
11	Ajaccio	32	10	9	13	-10	39
12	Le Havre	32	9	12	11	-10	39
13	Rodez	32	8	14	10	-5	38
14	Niort	32	9	11	12	-16	38
15	Caen	32	8	12	12	-11	36
16	Pau FC	32	9	8	15	-10	35
17	Dunkerque	31	9	7	15	-11	34
18	Guingamp	31	5	15	11	-11	30
19	Chambly	32	6	10	16	-24	28
20	Chateauroux	32	4	9	19	-21	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	16	12	3	1	+12	39
2	Toulouse	16	11	3	2	+22	36
3	Grenoble	16	10	6	0	+19	36
4	Clermont	15	10	4	1	+22	34
5	Paris FC	16	9	5	2	+9	32
6	Auxerre	16	8	5	3	+18	29
7	Valenciennes	16	7	5	4	+4	26
8	Amiens	16	6	7	3	+4	25
9	Pau FC	16	7	4	5	+3	25
10	Ajaccio	16	7	4	5	+1	25
11	Rodez	16	6	6	4	+3	24
12	Niort	16	6	5	5	-3	23
13	Nancy	16	5	7	4	+0	22
14	Caen	16	5	7	4	-3	22
15	Sochaux	16	5	6	5	+2	21
16	Dunkerque	15	5	5	5	+3	20
17	Le Havre	16	3	8	5	-5	17
18	Chambly	16	5	2	9	-9	17
19	Guingamp	15	2	8	5	-7	14
20	Chateauroux	16	3	3	10	-9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sochaux	16	6	8	2	+11	26
2	Troyes	16	6	5	5	+4	23
3	Paris FC	16	6	5	5	+3	23
4	Clermont	16	6	4	6	+7	22
5	Toulouse	15	6	4	5	+4	22
6	Auxerre	16	5	7	4	+3	22
7	Le Havre	16	6	4	6	-5	22
8	Grenoble	16	6	3	7	-3	21
9	Nancy	16	5	4	7	+1	19
10	Valenciennes	16	4	5	7	-9	17
11	Guingamp	16	3	7	6	-4	16
12	Amiens	14	4	3	7	-4	15
13	Niort	16	3	6	7	-13	15
14	Caen	16	3	5	8	-8	14
15	Rodez	16	2	8	6	-8	14
16	Ajaccio	16	3	5	8	-11	14
17	Dunkerque	16	4	2	10	-14	14
18	Chambly	16	1	8	7	-15	11
19	Pau FC	16	2	4	10	-13	10
20	Chateauroux	16	1	6	9	-12	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.