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Serie A

Referee: G Calvarese

Roma

T T U S T

1–1

Full-time

Atalanta

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 57%

52%

61%

Points per game

1,7

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

68%

65%

Both score Ø 59%

52%

65%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 22

3 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 7

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Roma 7. · Atalanta 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	32	23	7	2	+42	76
2	Milan	32	20	6	6	+22	66
3	Juventus	32	19	8	5	+35	65
4	Atalanta	31	19	7	5	+34	64
5	Napoli	31	19	3	9	+31	60
6	Lazio	30	18	4	8	+10	58
7	Roma	31	16	6	9	+8	54
8	Sassuolo	32	13	10	9	+4	49
9	Sampdoria	32	12	6	14	-3	42
10	Verona	32	11	8	13	+0	41
11	Bologna	32	10	8	14	-4	38
12	Udinese	32	9	9	14	-8	36
13	Fiorentina	32	8	9	15	-12	33
14	Genoa	32	7	12	13	-13	33
15	Spezia	32	8	9	15	-18	33
16	Torino	31	6	13	12	-8	31
17	Benevento	32	7	10	15	-27	31
18	Cagliari	32	7	7	18	-18	28
19	Parma	32	3	11	18	-33	20
20	Crotone	32	4	3	25	-42	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	13	2	2	+24	41
2	Inter	15	13	1	1	+24	40
3	Roma	16	11	3	2	+17	36
4	Atalanta	16	10	3	3	+20	33
5	Napoli	15	10	2	3	+23	32
6	Lazio	15	10	2	3	+8	32
7	Milan	17	7	5	5	+5	26
8	Bologna	16	7	4	5	+5	25
9	Sampdoria	16	7	2	7	+1	23
10	Sassuolo	15	5	7	3	+3	22
11	Verona	16	6	3	7	+0	21
12	Fiorentina	16	5	5	6	+0	20
13	Genoa	16	4	7	5	-1	19
14	Udinese	16	5	3	8	-3	18
15	Spezia	16	4	6	6	-5	18
16	Cagliari	16	4	3	9	-10	15
17	Torino	15	2	8	5	-3	14
18	Crotone	16	4	1	11	-11	13
19	Benevento	16	2	6	8	-16	12
20	Parma	16	2	5	9	-17	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	15	13	1	1	+17	40
2	Inter	17	10	6	1	+18	36
3	Atalanta	15	9	4	2	+14	31
4	Napoli	16	9	1	6	+8	28
5	Sassuolo	17	8	3	6	+1	27
6	Lazio	15	8	2	5	+2	26
7	Juventus	15	6	6	3	+11	24
8	Verona	16	5	5	6	+0	20
9	Sampdoria	16	5	4	7	-4	19
10	Benevento	16	5	4	7	-11	19
11	Udinese	16	4	6	6	-5	18
12	Roma	15	5	3	7	-9	18
13	Torino	16	4	5	7	-5	17
14	Spezia	16	4	3	9	-13	15
15	Genoa	16	3	5	8	-12	14
16	Cagliari	16	3	4	9	-8	13
17	Bologna	16	3	4	9	-9	13
18	Fiorentina	16	3	4	9	-12	13
19	Parma	16	1	6	9	-16	9
20	Crotone	16	0	2	14	-31	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.