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Serie A

Referee: D Massa

Torino

T S T U S

3–1

Full-time

Roma

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 29/30 matches

Win Ø 35%

17%

53%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

59%

67%

Both score Ø 60%

69%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

23 Shots 9

11 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 8

11 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Torino 17. · Roma 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	30	23	5	2	+42	74
2	Milan	31	20	6	5	+23	66
3	Atalanta	31	19	7	5	+34	64
4	Juventus	31	18	8	5	+33	62
5	Napoli	30	19	2	9	+31	59
6	Lazio	30	18	4	8	+10	58
7	Roma	30	16	6	8	+10	54
8	Sassuolo	31	12	10	9	+3	46
9	Verona	31	11	8	12	+1	41
10	Sampdoria	31	11	6	14	-4	39
11	Bologna	31	10	7	14	-4	37
12	Udinese	31	9	9	13	-7	36
13	Genoa	31	7	11	13	-13	32
14	Spezia	31	8	8	15	-18	32
15	Fiorentina	31	7	9	15	-13	30
16	Benevento	31	7	9	15	-27	30
17	Torino	29	5	12	12	-10	27
18	Cagliari	31	6	7	18	-19	25
19	Parma	31	3	11	17	-31	20
20	Crotone	31	4	3	24	-41	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	15	13	1	1	+24	40
2	Juventus	16	12	2	2	+22	38
3	Roma	16	11	3	2	+17	36
4	Atalanta	16	10	3	3	+20	33
5	Lazio	15	10	2	3	+8	32
6	Napoli	14	10	1	3	+23	31
7	Milan	16	7	5	4	+6	26
8	Bologna	15	7	3	5	+5	24
9	Sampdoria	16	7	2	7	+1	23
10	Sassuolo	15	5	7	3	+3	22
11	Verona	15	6	3	6	+1	21
12	Fiorentina	16	5	5	6	+0	20
13	Genoa	15	4	6	5	-1	18
14	Udinese	15	5	3	7	-2	18
15	Spezia	15	4	5	6	-5	17
16	Cagliari	16	4	3	9	-10	15
17	Crotone	15	4	1	10	-10	13
18	Benevento	16	2	6	8	-16	12
19	Torino	14	1	8	5	-5	11
20	Parma	16	2	5	9	-17	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	15	13	1	1	+17	40
2	Inter	15	10	4	1	+18	34
3	Atalanta	15	9	4	2	+14	31
4	Napoli	16	9	1	6	+8	28
5	Lazio	15	8	2	5	+2	26
6	Juventus	15	6	6	3	+11	24
7	Sassuolo	16	7	3	6	+0	24
8	Verona	16	5	5	6	+0	20
9	Udinese	16	4	6	6	-5	18
10	Roma	14	5	3	6	-7	18
11	Benevento	15	5	3	7	-11	18
12	Torino	15	4	4	7	-5	16
13	Sampdoria	15	4	4	7	-5	16
14	Spezia	16	4	3	9	-13	15
15	Genoa	16	3	5	8	-12	14
16	Bologna	16	3	4	9	-9	13
17	Cagliari	15	2	4	9	-9	10
18	Fiorentina	15	2	4	9	-13	10
19	Parma	15	1	6	8	-14	9
20	Crotone	16	0	2	14	-31	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.