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Serie A
Referee: R Abisso
Salernitana
T T T T S
0–3
Full-time
Lazio
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
2,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,7
This season — Serie A · 19/21 matches
Win Ø 30%
16%
43%
Points per game
0,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
58%
81%
Both score Ø 54%
37%
71%
Average goals
2,9
3,9
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

27% Possession 73%
6 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salernitana 20. · Lazio 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 20 15 4 1 +35 49
2 Milan 21 15 3 3 +23 48
3 Napoli 21 13 4 4 +22 43
4 Atalanta 20 12 5 3 +18 41
5 Juventus 21 11 5 5 +11 38
6 Roma 21 10 2 9 +7 32
7 Fiorentina 20 10 2 8 +5 32
8 Lazio 21 9 5 7 +4 32
9 Torino 21 9 4 8 +9 31
10 Sassuolo 21 7 7 7 +3 28
11 Empoli 21 8 4 9 -8 28
12 Verona 21 7 6 8 +2 27
13 Bologna 20 8 3 9 -5 27
14 Udinese 19 4 8 7 -6 20
15 Sampdoria 22 5 5 12 -11 20
16 Spezia 21 5 4 12 -20 19
17 Venezia 20 4 5 11 -19 17
18 Cagliari 21 3 7 11 -21 16
19 Genoa 21 1 9 11 -19 12
20 Salernitana 19 3 2 14 -30 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Nov -21 Lazio – Salernitana 3–0

Match report

Salernitana Lazio
7′
C. Immobile 0–1
S. Milinković-Savić
10′
C. Immobile 0–2
Pedro
28′
🟨 Danilo Cataldi
40′
🔁 Felipe Anderson
↦ Pedro
Andrea Schiavone 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–2
59′
🔁 M. Lazzari
↦ A. Marušić
59′
🔁 Lucas Leiva
↦ D. Cataldi
Luca Ranieri 🟨
63′
66′
M. Lazzari 0–3
Felipe Anderson
67′
🟨 Manuel Lazzari
M. Ruggeri 🔁
↦ J. Obi
67′
69′
🟨 Luiz Felipe
M. Perrone 🔁
↦ L. Ranieri
77′
E. Vergani 🔁
↦ C. Gondo
82′
83′
🔁 L. Romero
↦ M. Zaccagni
83′
🔁 D. Vavro
↦ Luiz Felipe
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Salernitana

3-5-2
72 V. Belec G
5 F. Veseli D
33 F. Delli Carri D
19 L. Ranieri M
14 F. Di Tacchio M
22 J. Obi M
8 A. Schiavone M
24 W. Kechrida M
35 A. Moțoc D
9 F. Bonazzoli F
15 C. Gondo F
Bench (7)
3 M. Ruggeri
37 M. Perrone
63 E. Vergani
36 Alessandro Russo
96 G. Guerrieri
34 L. Cannavale
38 T. De Lorenzo

Coach: S. Colantuono

Lazio

4-3-3
1 T. Strakosha G
23 E. Hysaj D
4 Patric D
77 A. Marušić D
3 Luiz Felipe D
10 Luis Alberto M
20 M. Zaccagni F
32 D. Cataldi M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
9 Pedro F
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (11)
7 Felipe Anderson
29 M. Lazzari
6 Lucas Leiva
18 L. Romero
19 D. Vavro
44 R. Floriani
27 Raul Moro
31 M. Adamonis
25 Pepe Reina
94 V. Muriqi
50 M. Bertini

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,08
U
4,56
B ✓
1,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.