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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
St Etienne
T T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Lens
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 19/20 matches
Win Ø 26%
11%
40%
Points per game
0,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
53%
60%
Both score Ø 62%
63%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
2,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 20. · Lens 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 20 14 5 1 +22 47
2 Nice 21 12 4 5 +16 40
3 Marseille 19 10 6 3 +12 36
4 Rennes 20 9 4 7 +15 31
5 Montpellier 19 9 4 6 +9 31
6 Lens 20 8 6 6 +6 30
7 Monaco 20 8 6 6 +6 30
8 Strasbourg 19 8 5 6 +12 29
9 Nantes 21 8 5 8 +1 29
10 Lille 19 7 7 5 +0 28
11 Lyon 19 6 8 5 +0 26
12 Angers 19 6 7 6 -1 25
13 Brest 20 6 7 7 -5 25
14 Reims 20 5 9 6 +0 24
15 Clermont 19 4 6 9 -12 18
16 Troyes 19 4 5 10 -10 17
17 Bordeaux 20 3 8 9 -14 17
18 Lorient 19 3 7 9 -16 16
19 Metz 20 3 7 10 -18 16
20 St Etienne 19 2 6 11 -23 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Lens
30′
🟨 Jonathan Gradit
1–0 R. Boudebouz
A. Aouchiche
38′
Half-time 1–0
L. Gourna-Douath 🔁
↦ S. Thioub
55′
62′
🔁 C. Jean
↦ P. Frankowski
62′
🔁 F. Sotoca
↦ W. Saïd
73′
🔁 P. Berg
↦ K. Danso
73′
🔁 David Costa
↦ G. Kakuta
77′
F. Sotoca 1–1
J. Clauss
A. Dioussé 🔁
↦ Z. Youssouf
80′
Y. Lhéry 🔁
↦ A. Aouchiche
80′
85′
🔁 I. Baldé
↦ A. Kalimuendo-Muinga
Gabriel Silva 🟨
89′
L. Ghezali 🔁
↦ M. Nade
90′
95′
S. Fofana 1–2
David Costa
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Etienne

5-4-1
50 P. Bernardoni G
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
11 Gabriel Silva D
3 M. Nade D
27 Y. Maçon D
33 A. Bakayoko D
7 R. Boudebouz F
8 M. Camara M
28 Z. Youssouf M
17 A. Aouchiche M
31 S. Thioub M
Bench (9)
6 L. Gourna-Douath
25 A. Dioussé
34 Y. Lhéry
36 L. Ghezali
1 S. Bajić
14 J. Krasso
35 E. Dieye
30 M. Rivera
32 L. Mouton

Coach: P. Dupraz

Lens

3-4-3
16 J. Leca G
11 J. Clauss M
24 J. Gradit D
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
10 G. Kakuta F
8 S. Fofana M
29 P. Frankowski M
28 C. Doucouré M
22 W. Saïd F
15 A. Kalimuendo-Muinga F
Bench (9)
25 C. Jean
7 F. Sotoca
6 P. Berg
20 David Costa
33 I. Baldé
1 W. Fariñez
34 B. Pereira
5 C. Wooh
18 Y. Cahuzac

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,72
U
3,55
B ✓
2,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.