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Premier League

Referee: C Kavanagh

Leicester

T S S S T

1–1

Full-time

Tottenham

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Tottenham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,05 xG 1,18

30% Possession 70%

7 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 13

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
4	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
5	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
8	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
9	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
10	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
11	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
12	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
13	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0
14	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
15	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
16	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
17	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
18	Everton	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
2	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
3	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
4	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
5	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
6	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
7	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
8	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
9	Everton	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
2	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
4	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
5	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
6	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
7	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0
8	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
9	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.