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Süper Lig

Referee: O Çakır

Hatayspor

U S U S T

1–1

Full-time

Kasimpasa

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,53 xG 1,08

38% Possession 62%

9 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 17. · Kasimpasa 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.2	6
2	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.2	6
3	Buyuksehyr	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.6	4
4	Rizespor	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.5	4
5	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.5	4
6	Sivasspor	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.0	4
7	Konyaspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.8	3
8	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.4	3
9	Samsunspor	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.7	3
10	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.8	2
11	Eyüpspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
12	Trabzonspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
13	Alanyaspor	2	0	1	1	-2	+2.8	1
14	Antalyaspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.5	1
15	Kasimpasa	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
16	Kayserispor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
17	Hatayspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.0	0
18	Bodrumspor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
19	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
2	Buyuksehyr	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.3	3
3	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.0	3
4	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
5	Goztep	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
6	Rizespor	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
7	Alanyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
8	Antalyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Sivasspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
10	Kasimpasa	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
11	Konyaspor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
12	Kayserispor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
13	Ad. Demirspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
14	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
15	Bodrumspor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
16	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
2	Konyaspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
3	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
4	Sivasspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
5	Rizespor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Gaziantep	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
8	Fenerbahce	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
9	Buyuksehyr	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
10	Eyüpspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
11	Goztep	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
12	Trabzonspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
13	Hatayspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.0	0
14	Ad. Demirspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
15	Antalyaspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
16	Alanyaspor	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.