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Superligaen

Referee: J Hansen

Aarhus

S U T S S

5–1

Full-time

Vejle

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Vejle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

3,08 xG 2,38

66% Possession 34%

17 Shots 13

10 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 6. · Vejle 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	5	4	0	1	+6	+2.1	12
2	Midtjylland	5	3	2	0	+5	+3.6	11
3	FC Copenhagen	5	3	2	0	+5	+4.4	11
4	Brondby	5	3	1	1	+6	+4.6	10
5	Nordsjaelland	5	2	2	1	+1	+3.8	8
6	Aarhus	4	2	1	1	+4	-0.3	7
7	Randers FC	5	2	1	2	+0	+0.2	7
8	Aalborg	5	2	0	3	-7	-3.7	6
9	Sonderjyske	5	1	1	3	-6	-5.5	4
10	Viborg	5	0	2	3	-4	-2.7	2
11	Lyngby	5	0	2	3	-5	-2.5	2
12	Vejle	4	0	0	4	-5	-4.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	3	3	0	0	+5	+1.9	9
2	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.6	6
3	Nordsjaelland	3	1	2	0	+3	+2.9	5
4	FC Copenhagen	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.8	5
5	Aarhus	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
6	Brondby	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.6	3
7	Randers FC	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.2	3
8	Aalborg	2	1	0	1	-3	-1.5	3
9	Viborg	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.6	1
10	Sonderjyske	2	0	1	1	-2	-3.0	1
11	Vejle	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.4	0
12	Lyngby	3	0	0	3	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	3	2	1	0	+6	+3.0	7
2	FC Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.5	6
3	Midtjylland	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.1	5
4	Randers FC	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.5	4
5	Silkeborg	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.2	3
6	Aarhus	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.2	3
7	Nordsjaelland	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.9	3
8	Aalborg	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.2	3
9	Sonderjyske	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.5	3
10	Lyngby	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.9	2
11	Viborg	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.1	1
12	Vejle	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.