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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Metz
T T T T U
1–1
Full-time
Bastia
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

72% Possession 28%
18 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Jun -23 Metz – Bastia 3–2 17. Sep -22 Bastia – Metz 1–0 17. Mar -17 Metz – Bastia 1–0 10. Dec -16 Bastia – Metz 2–0

Match report

Metz Bastia
29′
🟨 Tom Ducrocq
38′
⚽ A. Boutrah 0–1
Half-time 0–1
53′
🔁 Z. Ariss
↦ T. Meynadier
A. Atta 🔁
↦ J. Nduquidi
60′
61′
🔁 J. Janneh
↦ L. Etoga
62′
🔁 C. Rodrigues
↦ F. Bianchini
70′
🟨 Florian Bohnert
72′
🔁 J. Guevara
↦ F. Tomi
72′
🔁 L. Tramoni
↦ C. Vincent
M. Colin 🔁
↦ K. Kouao
73′
A. Touré 🔁
↦ Fali Candé
81′
M. Bokele Mputu 🔁
↦ C. Sabaly
81′
85′
🟨 Lisandru Tramoni
Maxime Colin 🟨
93′
1–1 A. Jallow ⚽
98′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Metz

4-2-3-1
16 A. Oukidja G
39 K. Kouao D
38 S. Sané D
8 I. Traoré D
5 Fali Candé D
6 J. Nduquidi M
20 J. Deminguet M
36 A. Jallow M
7 G. Hein M
14 C. Sabaly M
9 I. Sané F
Bench (7)
25 A. Atta
2 M. Colin
12 A. Touré
19 M. Bokele Mputu
26 M. Mbaye
61 P. Sy
15 A. Lô

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Bastia

4-3-3
30 J. Placide G
24 T. Meynadier D
28 G. Akueson D
4 A. Roncaglia D
15 F. Bohnert D
7 C. Vincent M
13 T. Ducrocq M
14 L. Etoga M
18 F. Tomi F
9 F. Bianchini F
10 A. Boutrah F
Bench (7)
17 Z. Ariss
66 J. Janneh
25 C. Rodrigues
3 J. Guevara
27 L. Tramoni
23 J. Fabri
5 J. Maggiotti

Coach: B. Tavenot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
🔒
U ✓
3,34
🔒
B
4,01
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,12
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,69
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.