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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
Norwich
T T U T T
2–2
Full-time
Tottenham
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Premier League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 29%
16%
42%
Points per game
0,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
53%
74%
Both score Ø 66%
58%
74%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
5 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 20. · Tottenham 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 18 17 1 0 +32 52
2 Leicester 19 12 3 4 +23 39
3 Man City 19 12 2 5 +29 38
4 Chelsea 19 10 2 7 +6 32
5 Wolves 19 7 9 3 +5 30
6 Tottenham 19 8 5 6 +7 29
7 Sheffield United 19 7 8 4 +6 29
8 Man United 19 7 7 5 +7 28
9 Crystal Palace 20 7 6 7 -4 27
10 Everton 20 7 4 9 -7 25
11 Newcastle 20 7 4 9 -10 25
12 Arsenal 19 5 9 5 -3 24
13 Burnley 19 7 3 9 -7 24
14 Brighton 20 6 5 9 -4 23
15 Southampton 20 6 4 10 -14 22
16 Bournemouth 20 5 5 10 -8 20
17 West Ham 18 5 4 9 -10 19
18 Aston Villa 20 5 3 12 -11 18
19 Watford 20 3 7 10 -18 16
20 Norwich 19 3 3 13 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Tottenham
1–0 M. Vrančić
E. Buendía
18′
Mario Vrančić 🟨
22′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Lucas Moura
↦ J. Vertonghen
46′
🔁 D. Sánchez
↦ J. Foyth
Jamal Lewis 🟨
54′
Tim Krul 🟨
55′
55′
C. Eriksen 1–1
1–2 S. Aurier
own goal
61′
69′
🟨 Lucas Moura
K. McLean 🔁
↦ M. Stiepermann
70′
74′
🔁 E. Lamela
↦ G. Lo Celso
T. Trybull 🔁
↦ M. Vrančić
75′
83′
H. Kane 1–3
T. Cantwell 🔁
↦ A. Tettey
86′
90′
🟨 Christian Eriksen
90′
🟨 Toby Alderweireld
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 T. Krul G
5 G. Hanley D
6 C. Zimmermann D
12 J. Lewis D
2 M. Aarons D
8 M. Vrančić M
27 A. Tettey M
18 M. Stiepermann M
11 O. Hernández M
17 E. Buendía M
22 T. Pukki F
Bench (7)
23 K. McLean
19 T. Trybull
14 T. Cantwell
3 S. Byram
24 I. Amadou
32 D. Srbeny
33 M. McGovern

Coach: D. Farke

Tottenham

3-1-4-2
22 P. Gazzaniga G
5 J. Vertonghen D
4 T. Alderweireld D
24 S. Aurier M
21 J. Foyth D
23 C. Eriksen M
20 D. Alli F
28 T. Ndombèlé M
18 G. Lo Celso M
19 R. Sessegnon M
10 H. Kane F
Bench (7)
27 Lucas Moura
6 D. Sánchez
11 E. Lamela
39 J. Tanganga
13 M. Vorm
29 O. Skipp
15 E. Dier

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,93
U ✓
4,07
B
1,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,35
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.