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Premier League
Referee: Andy Madley
Southampton
S T T S S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Southampton Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — Premier League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
32%
37%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
68%
32%
Both score Ø 53%
68%
37%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Southampton 15. · Crystal Palace 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 18 17 1 0 +32 52
2 Leicester 19 12 3 4 +23 39
3 Man City 19 12 2 5 +29 38
4 Chelsea 19 10 2 7 +6 32
5 Wolves 19 7 9 3 +5 30
6 Tottenham 19 8 5 6 +7 29
7 Sheffield United 19 7 8 4 +6 29
8 Man United 19 7 7 5 +7 28
9 Crystal Palace 19 7 5 7 -4 26
10 Newcastle 19 7 4 8 -9 25
11 Arsenal 19 5 9 5 -3 24
12 Burnley 19 7 3 9 -7 24
13 Brighton 20 6 5 9 -4 23
14 Everton 19 6 4 9 -8 22
15 Southampton 19 6 3 10 -14 21
16 Bournemouth 20 5 5 10 -8 20
17 West Ham 18 5 4 9 -10 19
18 Aston Villa 19 5 3 11 -8 18
19 Watford 19 2 7 10 -21 13
20 Norwich 19 3 3 13 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Southampton Crystal Palace
32′
🟨 Luka Milivojević
Half-time 0–1
50′
J. Tomkins 0–1
L. Milivojević
M. Djenepo 🔁
↦ C. Adams
63′
S. Armstrong 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
68′
1–1 D. Ings
74′
James Ward-Prowse 🟨
79′
84′
🔁 C. Kouyaté
↦ M. Meyer
85′
🟨 James McArthur
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Southampton

4-4-2
1 A. McCarthy G
21 R. Bertrand D
2 Cédric Soares D
5 J. Stephens D
35 J. Bednarek D
22 N. Redmond M
23 P. Højbjerg M
16 J. Ward-Prowse M
19 S. Boufal M
9 D. Ings F
10 C. Adams F
Bench (7)
12 M. Djenepo
17 S. Armstrong
14 Oriol Romeu
4 J. Vestergaard
27 W. Smallbone
3 M. Yoshida
28 A. Gunn

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Crystal Palace

4-5-1
31 Guaita G
12 M. Sakho D
5 J. Tomkins D
34 M. Kelly D
18 J. McArthur M
22 J. McCarthy M
4 L. Milivojević M
7 M. Meyer M
44 J. Riedewald D
9 J. Ayew F
11 W. Zaha M
Bench (7)
8 C. Kouyaté
13 W. Hennessey
41 J. Daly
40 B. Pierrick
35 S. Woods
21 C. Wickham
23 Camarasa

Coach: R. Hodgson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
U ✓
3,57
B
3,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Madley · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.